sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,584

MerhabaKardesim

0x3a2…0f72
PnL 10k+PoliticsSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$33.0kvol $10.6M
PnL 30d+$1,108gains $10.7k · losses $8,337
PnL 7d−$954win rate 7d 44.4%
Win rate36.9%adj 37.5% · 30d 34.9%
Open value$5,667cash n/a
Positions48 / 1,083open / all-time
Max drawdown−39.4%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$33.8kbelow peak −$14.9kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 36.9% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity61

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 48

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes8,24413.5¢14.5¢$1,195+$84+$80
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Yes3,01335.3¢29.5¢$889−$173$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Yes5,00018¢13.5¢$675−$225+$185
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes5,00924.7¢12.5¢$626−$612+$19
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes17.7k3.1¢2.9¢$523−$27−$225
Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?Yes1,20079.6¢40¢$480−$475$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes3,0129¢12.5¢$377+$105$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes2,50013.5¢6.5¢$162−$174+$6.05
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes20051¢62.5¢$125+$23$0
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes1,87810.1¢6.5¢$122−$67−$101
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Yes2,49722.2¢4.4¢$110−$444$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes10.7k14.2¢0.9¢$91−$1,429$0
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes1,0006¢6.5¢$65+$5.00$0
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes10737.5¢46.4¢$50+$9.55$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes1,0007.8¢3.5¢$35−$43$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Yes3,4681.6¢0.8¢$26−$28$0
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Qatar?Yes7121¢2.8¢$20+$13$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes1,4183.6¢1.3¢$18−$32$0
Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?Yes1,6040.8¢1¢$15+$2.78$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes3867.6¢3.8¢$15−$15$0
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 14, 2026?No1703.9¢3.4¢$5.78−$0.81$0
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?Yes1305¢4.3¢$5.59−$0.91$0
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the UAE?Yes5921.9¢0.9¢$5.32−$6.01$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes5029¢8.5¢$4.25−$10$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Yes5281.5¢0.7¢$3.43−$4.74$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes5321.7¢0.5¢$2.66−$6.51$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?Yes2,6340.5¢0.1¢$2.63−$11$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes2225¢11¢$2.46−$3.13+$450
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?Yes9810.8¢0.3¢$2.45−$5.38$0
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?Yes506.1¢3.6¢$1.80−$1.25$0
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yes4011¢4.5¢$1.80−$2.60$0
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes2013¢6¢$1.20−$1.40$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Yes727.4¢14¢$0.97−$0.93$0
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes548¢17.5¢$0.88−$1.52$0
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Yes207¢4.1¢$0.81−$0.59$0
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes1035¢7.5¢$0.75−$2.75$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?Yes2962.1¢0.3¢$0.74−$5.34$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes1016¢5.5¢$0.55−$1.05$0
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes1517¢3.7¢$0.55−$2.00$0
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Yes1115¢5¢$0.54−$1.07$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Yes915.1¢5.5¢$0.51−$0.89$0
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes1110¢4.5¢$0.48−$0.59$0
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes1015¢4.6¢$0.46−$1.04$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes1025¢4.5¢$0.45−$2.05$0
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes1016¢4.5¢$0.45−$1.16$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes304¢1.3¢$0.39−$0.81$0
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Yes1017¢3.5¢$0.35−$1.35$0
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?No709.1¢0.1¢$0.04−$6.36$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?67¢1$0.3837%54
BUY NoWill Russia target Kyiv on October 15, 2026?4.3¢140$5.9837%54
BUY NoWill Russia target Kyiv on October 14, 2026?2.5¢82$2.0637%54
BUY YesWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?36¢1,324$47737%54
BUY YesWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?39¢1,000$39037%54
BUY YesIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?28.6¢2,000$57137%54
BUY NoWill Russia target Kyiv on October 14, 2026?2.7¢127$3.4137%54
SELL YesWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?99.9¢40$4037%54
BUY YesUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?15¢1,000$15037%54
SELL NoWill Trump say "Ammunition" this week?76.2¢1,206$91937%54
BUY NoWill Trump say "Ammunition" this week?66.7¢739$49337%54
BUY NoWill Trump say "Ammunition" this week?47¢467$21937%54
BUY NoWill Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?10¢353$3537%54
BUY NoWill Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?10¢40$4.0037%54
BUY NoWill Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?8¢30$2.4037%54
BUY NoWill Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?11.6¢100$1237%54
BUY YesUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?14¢1,952$27337%54
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?8.7¢4,143$36237%54
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?7.8¢1,143$9037%54
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?7¢2,460$17137%54