| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 3,092 | 90.9¢ | 82.5¢ | $2,551 | −$259 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,929 | 24.9¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,668 | +$1,189 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,627 | 89.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,537 | +$87 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,012 | 12.1¢ | 55.4¢ | $1,113 | +$870 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 733 | 81.4¢ | 88.5¢ | $649 | +$52 | +$76 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 691 | 77¢ | 85.5¢ | $591 | +$59 | +$4.22 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 823 | 70.1¢ | 71.5¢ | $588 | +$11 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 765 | 75.8¢ | 76.5¢ | $585 | +$5.36 | −$0.11 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 647 | 76.2¢ | 85.5¢ | $553 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 586 | 74.2¢ | 86¢ | $504 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 511 | 87.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $478 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 490 | 90.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $463 | +$18 | +$7.03 | |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 494 | 70.7¢ | 86.5¢ | $428 | +$78 | $0 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 442 | 93.2¢ | 95.8¢ | $423 | +$11 | +$0.22 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | No | 655 | 53.1¢ | 60.5¢ | $396 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 856 | 43¢ | 45.5¢ | $390 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 379 | 89.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $354 | +$15 | +$236 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 401 | 71¢ | 79.5¢ | $319 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | No | 323 | 89.4¢ | 93¢ | $300 | +$12 | $0 | |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | No | 323 | 88.2¢ | 92.5¢ | $299 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | No | 303 | 89.9¢ | 90¢ | $273 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 291 | 85.8¢ | 91.5¢ | $267 | +$17 | +$0.12 | |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 256 | 85¢ | 89.5¢ | $229 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 227 | 88.8¢ | 94¢ | $213 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 218 | 93.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $206 | +$2.34 | $0 | |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | No | 212 | 93.9¢ | 95¢ | $201 | +$2.40 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 212 | 84.1¢ | 87.6¢ | $186 | +$7.32 | +$5.83 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 204 | 86.6¢ | 90.1¢ | $184 | +$7.31 | $0 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 184 | 89.7¢ | 91.5¢ | $168 | +$3.27 | +$5.84 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 162 | 91¢ | 99.2¢ | $161 | +$13 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 219 | 75.4¢ | 72¢ | $158 | −$7.54 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 164 | 94¢ | 93.5¢ | $153 | −$0.82 | +$2.90 | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 202 | 76¢ | 75.5¢ | $153 | −$1.01 | $0 | |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 150 | 86.3¢ | 92.7¢ | $139 | +$9.60 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | No | 567 | 27.1¢ | 24¢ | $136 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 139 | 93.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $132 | +$2.91 | $0 | |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | No | 137 | 94.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $129 | −$0.19 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 134 | 89.8¢ | 95.6¢ | $128 | +$7.65 | +$2.60 | |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 137 | 83.2¢ | 91.5¢ | $126 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 118 | 89¢ | 91¢ | $107 | +$2.34 | +$1.55 | |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | No | 127 | 70¢ | 78¢ | $99 | +$10 | +$6.03 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 94 | 92.6¢ | 96¢ | $90 | +$3.16 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 99 | 81.1¢ | 85.5¢ | $84 | +$4.37 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 429 | 41.2¢ | 19.5¢ | $84 | −$93 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 90 | 87.2¢ | 89.5¢ | $80 | +$2.07 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 96 | 81.2¢ | 83¢ | $80 | +$1.70 | +$2.05 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 88 | 89¢ | 89.5¢ | $79 | +$0.46 | $0 | |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 90 | 87.2¢ | 86.5¢ | $78 | −$0.62 | $0 | |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? | No | 80 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $76 | +$1.56 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 74 | 85.4¢ | 89¢ | $66 | +$2.69 | $0 | |
| SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31? | No | 77 | 81.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $65 | +$2.21 | $0 | |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? | No | 69 | 90.5¢ | 89¢ | $61 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 75 | 40¢ | 79.5¢ | $60 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 66 | 90¢ | 89.5¢ | $60 | −$0.33 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 278 | 28.1¢ | 18.5¢ | $51 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 54 | 87.4¢ | 92¢ | $50 | +$2.49 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 56 | 85.7¢ | 87.5¢ | $49 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 50 | 92¢ | 94.5¢ | $47 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 36 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $34 | +$0.54 | +$29 | |
| Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026? | No | 35 | 91¢ | 92¢ | $32 | +$0.35 | $0 | |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? | No | 33 | 92.5¢ | 95.7¢ | $32 | +$1.05 | $0 | |
| Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026? | No | 37 | 86¢ | 86.5¢ | $32 | +$0.18 | $0 | |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? | No | 33 | 93.5¢ | 96¢ | $32 | +$0.84 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 37 | 85¢ | 84.5¢ | $31 | −$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 39 | 81¢ | 80.5¢ | $31 | −$0.19 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | No | 48 | 65¢ | 64.5¢ | $31 | −$0.24 | $0 | |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026? | No | 34 | 92¢ | 91¢ | $31 | −$0.34 | $0 | |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | No | 33 | 94.5¢ | 95¢ | $31 | +$0.17 | $0 | |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 44 | 71¢ | 69.5¢ | $31 | −$0.67 | $0 | |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? | Yes | 36 | 87.3¢ | 85.1¢ | $31 | −$0.81 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 38 | 84¢ | 80.5¢ | $30 | −$1.31 | $0 | |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 36 | 88¢ | 84¢ | $30 | −$1.43 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | No | 143 | 22¢ | 19.5¢ | $28 | −$3.58 | $0 | |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | No | 34 | 94.1¢ | 82¢ | $28 | −$4.08 | $0 | |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? | No | 20 | 90¢ | 94.5¢ | $18 | +$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | No | 18 | 86¢ | 89.5¢ | $16 | +$0.64 | $0 | |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 18 | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $16 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Iran invades Kuwait by December 31? | No | 15 | 96¢ | 97.4¢ | $15 | +$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 16 | 91¢ | 86.5¢ | $14 | −$0.74 | $0 | |