Traders/Rank #2,772

Johnsansculotte

0x3af…01d4

1y+PoliticsSportOther

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$6,589vol $709k

PnL 30d+$12.6kgains $235 · losses $49

PnL 7d+$5,538win rate 7d 75.0%

Win rate53.6%adj 52.9% · 30d 60.0%

Open value$14.1kcash n/a

Positions38 / 122open / all-time

Max drawdown−99.0%of equity peak

Account age2.0ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$11.3kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55

Adjusted win rateraw 53.6% · shrunk toward 50%32

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity1

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noopen+$9,391 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$6,698 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$3,019 Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? · Noclosed+$845 Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? · Noclosed+$315

Worst markets

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$1,760 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$1,544 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$1,011 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$594 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$551

Open positions · 38

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	14.2k	66.4¢	85.7¢	$12.2k	+$2,746	+$3,952	ended
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	1,954	51¢	86.5¢	$1,690	+$693	+$8,698	ended
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	107	73.5¢	89.5¢	$96	+$17	+$7.97	25d 21h
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?	No	50	90¢	90.5¢	$45	+$0.25	$0	22d 21h
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	Yes	409	12.5¢	7¢	$29	−$22	−$7.32	25d 21h
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	270	28¢	10.5¢	$28	−$47	−$14	25d 21h
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	Yes	30	22.3¢	24¢	$7.20	+$0.50	$0	22d 21h
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	45	9¢	4.6¢	$2.07	−$1.98	$0	25d 21h
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?	Yes	18	20¢	5.9¢	$1.06	−$2.54	+$0.22	3mo
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	28.2k	2.3¢	0¢	$0	−$648	+$97	ended
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	24.3k	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$192	−$68	ended
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	11.7k	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$445	+$33	ended
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,658	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$29	−$0.87	ended
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	Yes	9,590	21.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2,019	+$260	ended
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	9,234	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$34	−$1.11	ended
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	8,467	5.8¢	0¢	$0	−$489	−$105	ended
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	8,329	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$461	+$76	ended
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	7,820	1.5¢	0¢	$0	−$121	−$2.76	ended
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	No	6,916	2.3¢	0¢	$0	−$159	−$44	ended
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	6,370	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$40	+$12	ended
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	5,936	6.3¢	0¢	$0	−$372	−$23	ended
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	5,301	10.2¢	0¢	$0	−$538	−$1,006	ended
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	4,737	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$21	−$164	ended
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	3,150	10.3¢	0¢	$0	−$326	−$6.93	ended
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Yes	2,792	4.9¢	0¢	$0	−$136	−$15	ended
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2,099	2.9¢	0¢	$0	−$62	−$76	ended
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	No	1,265	14.5¢	0¢	$0	−$183	+$153	ended
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?	Yes	323	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$0.65	−$0.03	ended
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	Yes	307	12.5¢	0¢	$0	−$38	−$14	ended
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	300	71.3¢	0¢	$0	−$214	−$0.77	ended
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	100	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$0.10	$0	ended
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	50	11.6¢	0¢	$0	−$5.80	−$0.15	ended
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	50	8¢	0¢	$0	−$3.99	−$0.08	ended
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	10	85¢	0¢	$0	−$8.50	−$0.04	ended
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	10	51¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	−$0.07	ended
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	5	25¢	0¢	$0	−$1.25	−$0.03	ended
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	5	29¢	0¢	$0	−$1.45	−$0.03	ended
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	5	74¢	0¢	$0	−$3.70	−$0.03	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
5h ago	BUY Yes	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	23¢	20	$4.60	54%	42
5h ago	BUY Yes	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	21¢	10	$2.10	54%	42
5h ago	BUY No	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?	90¢	50	$45	54%	42
6h ago	SELL No	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	86¢	950	$817	54%	42
7h ago	SELL No	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	86¢	3,990	$3,431	54%	42
9h ago	SELL Yes	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	88¢	20	$18	54%	42
9h ago	SELL Yes	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	88¢	20	$18	54%	42
11h ago	SELL Yes	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	8.1¢	31	$2.52	54%	42
13h ago	BUY Yes	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	84¢	950	$798	54%	42
14h ago	BUY Yes	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	84¢	950	$798	54%	42
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	84.6¢	691	$584	54%	42
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	84.7¢	102	$87	54%	42
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	84.7¢	1,159	$982	54%	42
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	7.9¢	30	$2.37	54%	42
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	5.7¢	16	$0.92	54%	42
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	5.5¢	80	$4.43	54%	42
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	8.8¢	20	$1.76	54%	42
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	8.6¢	42	$3.61	54%	42
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	9.5¢	20	$1.90	54%	42
2d ago	SELL No	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	18¢	20	$3.60	54%	42