PnL all-time+$91.5kvol $2.26M
PnL 30d+$8,809gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$2,675win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate97.6%adj 82.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$586kcash n/a
Positions7 / 49open / all-time
Max drawdown−41.6%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$151kbelow peak −$412Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 97.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity58
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 216k | 87.3¢ | 97.8¢ | $212k | +$22.7k | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 140k | 90.3¢ | 97.2¢ | $136k | +$9,586 | −$317 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 70.0k | 84¢ | 96¢ | $67.2k | +$8,368 | −$5.19 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 60.2k | 82.5¢ | 96¢ | $57.8k | +$8,107 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 57.6k | 89.1¢ | 99.6¢ | $57.4k | +$6,034 | $0 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 31.6k | 87.6¢ | 95.5¢ | $30.2k | +$2,490 | $0 | |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 26.7k | 87.8¢ | 96¢ | $25.6k | +$2,169 | $0 |
Recent trades
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