PnL all-time−$621vol $171k
PnL 30d−$135gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$140win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate49.0%adj 49.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$555cash n/a
Positions7 / 182open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$524below peak −$1,454Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 49.0% · shrunk toward 50%23
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? · Yesclosed+$396Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas? · Yesclosed+$330Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? · Noclosed+$282Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? · Yesclosed+$238Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · Yesclosed+$215
Worst markets
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5 · Underclosed−$714XRP Up or Down - February 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Downclosed−$302Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28? · Yesclosed−$286Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30? · Yesclosed−$269Will "Jamie" be said 5+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8) · Noclosed−$202
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | No | 170 | 73¢ | 100¢ | $170 | +$46 | −$63 | |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 372 | 20¢ | 42.8¢ | $159 | +$85 | +$7.68 | |
| Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 458 | 25¢ | 28¢ | $128 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 156 | 72¢ | 59.5¢ | $93 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 101 | 15¢ | 5.1¢ | $5.10 | −$10 | −$0.70 | |
| Will Progressive Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | 4.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | −$0.22 | −$0.32 | |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | No | 5 | 80¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | −$4.56 |
Recent trades
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