PnL all-time−$36vol $8,793
PnL 30d+$181gains $169 · losses $155
PnL 7d+$15win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate46.9%adj 47.8% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions1 / 51open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.5%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 7h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$223below peak −$11Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 46.9% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$162Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$152Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? · Noclosed+$29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yesclosed+$22Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? · Yesclosed+$18
Worst markets
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$146Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$59US government shutdown Saturday? · Noclosed−$20Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? · Yesclosed−$20Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed−$20
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,006 | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | −$1.96 |
Recent trades
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