sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,068

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0x3d7…10fc
SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,470vol $1.77M
PnL 30d−$33.9kgains $18.2k · losses $16.6k
PnL 7d−$505win rate 7d 59.7%
Win rate59.1%adj 58.7% · 30d 59.1%
Open value$3,617cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 7,111open / all-time
Max drawdown−57.9%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$13.2kbelow peak −$10.2kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 59.1% · shrunk toward 50%47
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity42

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No2,00081¢88.5¢$1,770+$150+$2.10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No52399.5¢99.6¢$521+$0.26$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No52181.4¢84.5¢$440+$16−$155
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No42762.1¢74.5¢$318+$53−$15
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No2,00016.7¢11.6¢$231−$103−$23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No39335.7¢26.3¢$103−$37+$15
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No10491¢93¢$97+$2.08$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No40322¢16.5¢$67−$22$0
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?Yes1,14234.4¢0.1¢$0.57−$392−$530
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2427.3¢0.1¢$0.12−$18+$73
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2427.3¢0.1¢$0.12−$18+$73
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2427.3¢0.1¢$0.12−$18+$73
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2427.3¢0.1¢$0.12−$18+$73
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2202.1¢0.1¢$0.11−$4.46$0
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2202.1¢0.1¢$0.11−$4.46$0
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2202.1¢0.1¢$0.11−$4.46$0
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1022.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$2.02$0
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1022.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$2.02$0
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.18+$9.60
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17+$0.14
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.18
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2002.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$4.17−$0.26
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1961.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$2.02+$182
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1961.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$2.02+$182
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1961.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$2.02+$182
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1961.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$2.02+$182
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1961.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$2.02+$182
Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No1865¢0.1¢$0.09−$9.20+$803
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1153.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$3.62$0
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1022.1¢0.1¢$0.05−$2.07$0
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1022.1¢0.1¢$0.05−$2.07$0
Will Serge Gnabry be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,2270¢0¢$0$0−$1.08
Will Tim Payne be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,2270¢0¢$0$0−$1.08
Will Dion Beljo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,2270¢0¢$0+$0.01−$1.83
Will Edin Džeko be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,2270¢0¢$0+$0.01−$1.83
Will Rodrygo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,2270¢0¢$0+$0.07−$12
Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,2271.2¢0¢$0−$112+$14
Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,2070¢0¢$0+$0.18−$14
Will Ivan Perišić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,2070¢0¢$0+$0.01+$8.17
Will Andrej Kramarić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,2070¢0¢$0+$0.01+$8.17
Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1670¢0¢$0$0+$19
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1371.2¢0¢$0−$111+$58
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1370¢0¢$0$0+$44
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1371.2¢0¢$0−$111+$58
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0+$0.08+$32
Will Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0$0+$44
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0+$0.07+$34
Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0$0+$44
Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1361.2¢0¢$0−$111+$58
Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0+$0.01+$44
Will Amad Diallo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0$0+$44
Will Memphis Depay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0$0+$44
Will Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1361.2¢0¢$0−$111+$58
Will Depay Memphis be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0$0+$44
Will Antoine Semenyo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0+$0.03+$42
Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0$0+$44
Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1361.2¢0¢$0−$111+$58
Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0+$0.07+$34
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0$0+$44
Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1361.2¢0¢$0−$111+$58
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1361.2¢0¢$0−$111+$49
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0+$0.07+$34
Will Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Pessoa be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0+$0.07+$34
Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0+$0.17+$22
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0$0+$44
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0+$0.07+$34
Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0$0+$44
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1361.2¢0¢$0−$111+$58
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0+$0.08+$32
Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0$0+$29
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,1360¢0¢$0+$0.08+$2.32
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,0530¢0¢$0+$0.06+$33
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,9131.2¢0¢$0−$109+$47
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,3210¢0¢$0$0+$330

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Estoril Praia win on 2026-10-10?95¢107$10159%59
BUY NoWill Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-10-10?52¢114$5959%59
BUY NoWill Académico de Viseu FC vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?47.4¢16$7.4059%59
BUY NoWill Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-10-10?55¢21$1259%59
BUY NoWill Estoril Praia win on 2026-10-10?95¢20$1959%59
BUY NoWill Académico de Viseu FC vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?36¢19$7.0059%59
BUY NoWill Estoril Praia win on 2026-10-10?91.5¢20$1859%59
BUY NoWill Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-10-10?64¢19$1259%59
BUY NoWill Estoril Praia win on 2026-10-10?88¢20$1859%59
BUY NoWill Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-10-10?83¢18$1559%59
BUY NoWill CA Central Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?75¢19$1559%59
BUY NoWill Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-10?72.8¢19$1459%59
BUY NoWill Le Mans FC win on 2026-10-10?98.9¢49$4959%59
BUY NoWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10?15¢50$7.5059%59
BUY NoWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw?86¢47$4159%59
BUY NoWill Le Mans FC win on 2026-10-10?95.6¢20$1959%59
BUY NoWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10?19¢19$3.5959%59
BUY NoWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw?82¢19$1559%59
BUY NoWill SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?84¢20$1659%59
BUY NoWill Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-10?84¢21$1859%59