sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

TC2

0x403…ca66
1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$207vol $12.1k
PnL 30d−$36gains $0.58 · losses $493
PnL 7d−$15win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.8%adj 54.4% · 30d 11.1%
Open value$2,281cash n/a
Positions15 / 52open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.6%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$121below peak −$151Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.8% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity62

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo75590¢91.5¢$691+$11$0
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No33290.4¢94¢$312+$12$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No32589.1¢91.5¢$298+$7.81$0
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No31788.4¢92.7¢$294+$14$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?No25693.9¢95¢$243+$2.73$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No15779.8¢80.2¢$126+$0.61$0
Russia coup attempt in 2026?No8594¢96.6¢$82+$2.17$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No7593¢94¢$71+$0.75$0
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes12839¢39.5¢$51+$0.64$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No3990.8¢94.5¢$37+$1.44$0
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No3293¢92.5¢$30−$0.16$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes18413.3¢13.1¢$24−$0.46−$2.14
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No1190¢97.3¢$11+$0.80$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No793.5¢93.7¢$7.01+$0.01$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No698.2¢98.7¢$6.03+$0.03$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?93¢22$2157%31
BUY NoWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?93.5¢5$5.0057%31
BUY NoWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?93.5¢2$2.0057%31
SELL YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13.1¢192$2557%31
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?92¢11$1057%31
BUY NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?79.3¢19$1557%31
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢161$15057%31
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?89¢112$10057%31
BUY NoWill Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?93¢32$3057%31
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House90¢111$10057%31
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?89¢112$10057%31
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House90¢111$10057%31
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House90¢33$3057%31
SELL YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?50.3¢60$3057%31
BUY YesWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?93¢9$8.0057%31
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?89¢90$8057%31
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House90¢111$10057%31
BUY NoWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?95¢53$5057%31
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House30¢197$5957%31
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House30¢197$5957%31