| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? | No | 511 | 77.6¢ | 76.5¢ | $391 | −$5.77 | $0 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 984 | 13.7¢ | 22.5¢ | $221 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | 67¢ | 71.5¢ | $143 | +$8.92 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 170 | 58¢ | 78.5¢ | $133 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 11.5k | 1.3¢ | 1.2¢ | $132 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 200 | 66¢ | 62.7¢ | $126 | −$6.50 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 150 | 57¢ | 79.5¢ | $119 | +$34 | −$6.00 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 156 | 65.9¢ | 71.4¢ | $111 | +$8.56 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | No | 146 | 59.4¢ | 75¢ | $110 | +$23 | $0 | |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15? | No | 100 | 71¢ | 86.5¢ | $87 | +$16 | $0 | |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? | No | 125 | 44.9¢ | 67¢ | $84 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | No | 112 | 41.1¢ | 74¢ | $83 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 102 | 65.8¢ | 74.5¢ | $76 | +$8.83 | $0 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | No | 109 | 46¢ | 64¢ | $70 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 80 | 69¢ | 86¢ | $69 | +$14 | +$34 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 120 | 48.5¢ | 55.6¢ | $67 | +$8.46 | $0 | |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 200 | 30¢ | 30.5¢ | $61 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | No | 67 | 61.2¢ | 60.5¢ | $41 | −$0.49 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 50 | 67¢ | 61.5¢ | $31 | −$2.75 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 12? | No | 23 | 51.2¢ | 100¢ | $23 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12? | Yes | 100 | 6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$5.95 | $0 | |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16.0k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$161 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | Yes | 9,755 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$114 | −$0.42 | |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9,222 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$171 | −$2.08 | |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026? | Yes | 2,500 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,300 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$139 | −$1.07 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 28? | Yes | 1,477 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | −$0.29 | |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 17, 2026? | Yes | 1,403 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 22? | Yes | 1,200 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$204 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 22? | Yes | 1,110 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | −$0.25 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 28? | Yes | 1,100 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | −$0.15 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10? | Yes | 1,100 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.80 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 9? | Yes | 1,000 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 2? | Yes | 860 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.58 | $0 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 850 | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$137 | +$426 | |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026? | Yes | 845 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.84 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026? | No | 750 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? | No | 664 | 24.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$161 | $0 | |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 13, 2026? | Yes | 637 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.64 | $0 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 600 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | No | 600 | 32.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$196 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | Down | 577 | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.62 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 30? | Yes | 540 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.40 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 26? | Yes | 526 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$163 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 6? | Yes | 517 | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | −$0.65 | |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | No | 500 | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | −$1.38 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | Down | 500 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.35 | |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | Yes | 500 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026? | No | 500 | 30.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$152 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26? | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 20, 2026? | Yes | 470 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.47 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4? | Yes | 450 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? | No | 445 | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$195 | −$1.79 | |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | Yes | 444 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | −$0.16 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 10? | Yes | 441 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | −$0.01 | |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | Guangdong Southern Tigers | 440 | 21.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$94 | −$2.21 | |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026? | Yes | 440 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.44 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20? | Yes | 438 | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33 | +$235 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 27? | Yes | 430 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 6? | Yes | 408 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33 | +$9.01 | |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026? | No | 405 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$195 | $0 | |
| Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 400 | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 15? | No | 400 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$120 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 27? | Yes | 400 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | No | 392 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 30? | No | 390 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$97 | $0 | |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 27, 2026? | Yes | 342 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.34 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12? | No | 330 | 58.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$193 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | No | 321 | 34.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$112 | −$2.90 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 11? | Yes | 310 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.40 | $0 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | No | 300 | 33.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | +$89 | |
| English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record? | No | 300 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 300 | 31.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$94 | −$0.99 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 9? | Yes | 300 | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 297 | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 5? | Yes | 282 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 278 | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | No | 263 | 77¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$202 | −$1.83 | |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | No | 258 | 41.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$107 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 20? | Yes | 250 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | No | 240 | 37.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$90 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9? | Yes | 223 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$185 | −$1.29 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 26? | No | 220 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.10 | $0 | |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? | No | 215 | 65.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$141 | +$9.70 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 213 | 85.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$183 | $0 | |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | No | 213 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.59 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 7 2026? | No | 210 | 29.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$63 | −$1.76 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Up | 202 | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.53 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 200 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 22? | Yes | 200 | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.40 | $0 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14? | No | 200 | 89¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$178 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or higher on May 26? | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 23? | Yes | 200 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.20 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 13? | Yes | 200 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 15? | No | 200 | 65¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$130 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2? | Yes | 195 | 65.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$128 | −$2.02 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 16? | No | 180 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$119 | −$2.02 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Yes | 173 | 23.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026? | No | 170 | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | −$1.50 | |