sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,241

Master-Margarita

0x412…5827
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,383vol $3.05M
PnL 30d−$2,270gains $0 · losses $2,602
PnL 7d+$283win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate35.5%adj 37.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,253cash n/a
Positions2 / 124open / all-time
Max drawdown−92.6%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,742below peak −$52.5kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 35.5% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity7

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 2

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4,85742.2¢46.4¢$2,253+$204$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?Yes918¢0¢$0−$1.67−$0.05

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?42.2¢4,857$2,05036%40
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?83¢2,489$2,06636%40
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?84¢5$4.5036%40
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?81¢30$2436%40
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?84¢4$3.0036%40
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?84¢2,451$2,05936%40
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?38¢13$4.9436%40
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?37¢2,309$85436%40
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?39¢12$4.5636%40
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?39¢8$3.1236%40
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?39¢13$5.0736%40
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?39¢5,823$2,27136%40
BUY YesWill Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?18¢9$1.6736%40
SELL YesWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?62¢3$1.7736%40
BUY YesWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?49¢3$1.4036%40
SELL YesTulsi Gabbard out by March 31?2.8¢50$1.3936%40
BUY YesTulsi Gabbard out by March 31?19.8¢50$9.8536%40
SELL YesWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?38¢26$9.8636%40
BUY YesWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?79¢15$1236%40
SELL NoKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?0.1¢12.0k$1236%40