PnL all-time+$230vol $15.4k
PnL 30d+$519gains $184 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$95win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate89.7%adj 81.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$3,436cash n/a
Positions11 / 89open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.6%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$624below peak −$180Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 89.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesopen+$413Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election? · Yesclosed+$64Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? · Yesclosed+$57Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee? · Yesclosed+$43Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yesclosed+$35
Worst markets
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19? · Yesclosed−$201Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yesclosed−$70Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc? · Yesopen−$58Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$25Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Upclosed−$25
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 4,360 | 32.4¢ | 41.9¢ | $1,825 | +$413 | $0 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 424 | 87.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $375 | +$3.30 | $0 | |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | Yes | 327 | 91.8¢ | 89.5¢ | $292 | −$7.67 | $0 | |
| Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? | Yes | 224 | 92.7¢ | 98.5¢ | $221 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 202 | 88.2¢ | 85.7¢ | $173 | −$5.15 | $0 | |
| Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? | Yes | 146 | 93¢ | 96.5¢ | $141 | +$5.12 | $0 | |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 162 | 86.6¢ | 79.5¢ | $129 | −$11 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 113 | 88¢ | 90.5¢ | $102 | +$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc? | Yes | 185 | 83.8¢ | 52.7¢ | $98 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | No | 52 | 96.7¢ | 97¢ | $50 | +$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | Yes | 43 | 70¢ | 71¢ | $30 | +$0.43 | $0 |
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