sharpside
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Polymarket
PnL all-time−$28.8kvol $192k
PnL 30d−$10.2kgains $3,319 · losses $26.9k
PnL 7d−$7,195win rate 7d 49.0%
Win rate59.3%adj 58.0% · 30d 62.5%
Open value$14.2kcash n/a
Positions26 / 145open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.6%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$29.7kbelow peak −$29.6kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 59.3% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$1,029Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Noclosed+$767Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yesclosed+$218Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yesopen+$206Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$194

Worst markets

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$6,004Fed rate hike in 2026? · Noclosed−$4,887Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Noclosed−$2,878Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yesclosed−$2,349Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-10-10? · Yesopen−$2,229

Open positions · 26

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes21.7k42.5¢40¢$8,678−$548$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1,34273.7¢89¢$1,195+$206$0
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1,51951.2¢55.5¢$843+$66$0
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes1,02588¢74.5¢$764−$138$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No2,00033.1¢22.2¢$443−$219$0
Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Yes54875.8¢75¢$411−$4.20$0
Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Yes49863¢68.5¢$341+$27$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes1,50033¢21.5¢$323−$172$0
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes2,18123.1¢13.9¢$302−$201−$0.42
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes50062¢53.5¢$268−$43$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes25066.3¢83.5¢$208+$43+$8.20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes72645¢22.5¢$163−$163$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes10084¢66¢$66−$18$0
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Yes9077.9¢72.6¢$65−$4.83$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No25452¢25.5¢$65−$67$0
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Yes7452¢49.5¢$37−$1.84$0
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Yes4165¢39.5¢$16−$10$0
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?No9051¢13.5¢$12−$34$0
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No1765¢65¢$11$0$0
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Yes9452¢9¢$8.48−$40$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes583¢82.5¢$4.13−$0.03$0
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-10-10?Yes8,97524.7¢0¢$0−$2,219−$9.83
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-10-10?Yes76974.8¢0¢$0−$575−$4.71
Will Altrincham FC vs. Aldershot Town FC end in a draw?Yes3932.1¢0¢$0−$8.36−$0.41
Will Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?Yes11070.6¢0¢$0−$78−$0.09
Will Plymouth Argyle FC vs. AFC Wimbledon end in a draw?Yes1552¢0¢$0−$7.80$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?77¢10$7.7059%27
SELL YesWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?99.9¢5$5.0059%27
SELL YesWill Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-10-10?99¢80$7959%27
BUY YesWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?75¢5$3.7559%27
SELL YesWill Chicago Fire FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw?14.1¢200$2859%27
SELL YesWill VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-10?3.4¢600$2059%27
SELL YesWill 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-10-10?9.6¢605$5859%27
SELL YesWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-10?96.7¢100$9759%27
BUY YesWill 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-10-10?86¢50$4359%27
BUY YesWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-10?95¢100$9559%27
SELL YesWill AD Tarma vs. FC Cajamarca end in a draw?99.9¢45$4559%27
SELL YesWill CD Cobresal vs. CD Universidad de Concepción end in a draw?99¢9$8.9159%27
SELL YesWill CD Cobresal vs. CD Universidad de Concepción end in a draw?99¢211$20959%27
BUY YesWill CD Cobresal vs. CD Universidad de Concepción end in a draw?62¢26$1659%27
BUY YesWill CD Cobresal vs. CD Universidad de Concepción end in a draw?58¢20$1259%27
SELL YesWill CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-10-10?2.6¢404$1159%27
BUY YesWill CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-10-10?95¢404$38459%27
SELL YesWill Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente end in a draw?99¢290$28759%27
SELL YesWill CD Cobresal vs. CD Universidad de Concepción end in a draw?10¢768$7759%27
BUY YesWill AD Tarma vs. FC Cajamarca end in a draw?80¢45$3659%27