sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,671

budu100

0x43b…ec9c
WhaleWR 60+1y+PoliticsSportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,370vol $2.67M
PnL 30d+$2,567gains $2,239 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$88win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.9%adj 64.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$105kcash n/a
Positions23 / 164open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.4%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 8d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$13.5kbelow peak −$1,060Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 66.9% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d72
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No35.1k92.8¢96.4¢$33.8k+$1,250$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No24.5k69¢73.5¢$18.0k+$1,102$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No16.2k89¢96.7¢$15.7k+$1,246+$120
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No13.8k93.7¢94.6¢$13.1k+$122$0
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?No7,22192.3¢95.5¢$6,896+$233$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No5,00096.9¢97.8¢$4,888+$43+$191
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No4,73192.5¢94.2¢$4,456+$81$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No4,60091.9¢96¢$4,414+$187$0
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No2,58593.5¢91.1¢$2,357−$62$0
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No1,08688¢92.5¢$1,004+$49$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No22988¢91.5¢$210+$7.91+$7.46
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No18290¢92.5¢$168+$4.55$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No4585¢93.5¢$42+$3.85$0
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No3686¢92.5¢$33+$2.32$0
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?No2683¢93.4¢$24+$2.66$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?No1180¢94.4¢$10+$1.53$0
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?No896¢96.7¢$8.21+$0.06$0
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes23.0k2.2¢0¢$0−$506−$15
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20.0k2.5¢0¢$0−$500−$15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes17.7k3.1¢0¢$0−$550−$52
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.0k6¢0¢$0−$600−$17
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium80027.7¢0¢$0−$222−$3.93
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3000.2¢0¢$0−$0.60$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?95¢10$9.5067%65
BUY NoWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?95¢1,791$1,70267%65
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?96.9¢5,000$4,84567%65
BUY NoLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?92.2¢1,330$1,22667%65
SELL YesWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?99.7¢1,409$1,40467%65
BUY NoChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?93¢259$24167%65
BUY YesWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?97.4¢1,548$1,50867%65
BUY YesWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?94¢2,236$2,10267%65
SELL NoIran Nuke before 2027?95.9¢79$7667%65
BUY YesWill Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?93.9¢2,500$2,34767%65
BUY YesWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?93¢2,177$2,02567%65
BUY NoChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?93¢5$4.6567%65
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?92¢22$2067%65
BUY NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?69¢5,479$3,78067%65
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?92¢4,000$3,68067%65
BUY NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?69¢19.0k$13.1k67%65Whale
SELL NoXi Jinping out before 2027?95.9¢2,898$2,77967%65
BUY NoWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?92.2¢3,500$3,22767%65
BUY NoWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?92.2¢20.0k$18.4k67%65Whale
SELL NoXi Jinping out before 2027?95¢18.3k$17.4k67%65Whale