PnL all-time+$666kvol $80.5M
PnL 30d+$182kgains $381k · losses $204k
PnL 7d+$62.5kwin rate 7d 55.0%
Win rate61.1%adj 60.7% · 30d 59.1%
Open value$137kcash n/a
Positions11 / 7,431open / all-time
Max drawdown−63.7%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$685kbelow peak −$95.1kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale83
Adjusted win rateraw 61.1% · shrunk toward 50%52
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity36
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$43.6kWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$28.3kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$19.5kUFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) · Christian Edwardsclosed+$18.6kWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Noclosed+$15.2k
Worst markets
UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) · Dooho Choiclosed−$10.5kSpread: Rams (-3.5) · Ramsclosed−$8,956Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) · Manon Fiorotclosed−$5,355Falcons vs. Saints · Saintsclosed−$5,300Spread: Bills (-7.5) · Chargersclosed−$5,300
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 70.2k | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $63.5k | +$351 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 100k | 28¢ | 27.5¢ | $27.5k | −$500 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 178k | 13.1¢ | 13.5¢ | $24.1k | +$766 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 9,831 | 75.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $7,619 | +$196 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7,107 | 84¢ | 85.5¢ | $6,076 | +$107 | $0 | |
| Spread: Liberty (-14.5) | Sam Houston | 5,555 | 56¢ | 55.5¢ | $3,083 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3,507 | 76¢ | 77.5¢ | $2,718 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Spread: Cowboys (-8.5) | Buccaneers | 3,333 | 49¢ | 48.5¢ | $1,617 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,274 | 27¢ | 29.5¢ | $376 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | Yes | 1,563 | 19¢ | 19¢ | $297 | +$0.67 | +$0.13 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | No | 1,112 | 17¢ | 19¢ | $211 | +$22 | +$13 |
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