PnL all-time−$131kvol $36.3M
PnL 30d+$2,922gains $27.6k · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,479win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate96.4%adj 94.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$273kcash n/a
Positions6 / 879open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 20d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$91.3kbelow peak −$223kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 96.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d31
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noopen+$35.9kWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Noclosed+$27.5kWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Noclosed+$15.0kWill Trump visit China by June 30? · Yesclosed+$11.7kWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$9,730
Worst markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$229kWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24? · Yesclosed−$119kWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? · Noopen−$17.6kWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? · Noclosed−$3,930Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,115
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 204k | 79.5¢ | 97.2¢ | $198k | +$35.9k | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 76.6k | 93¢ | 97.4¢ | $74.6k | +$3,332 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | No | 18.0k | 97.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.6k | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address? | Yes | 165 | 98.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$162 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026? | No | 50 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 31 | 93.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | −$323 |
Recent trades
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