PnL all-time+$164kvol $7.21M
PnL 30d+$21.7kgains $33.0k · losses $4,944
PnL 7d−$4,546win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.6%adj 73.2% · 30d 55.6%
Open value$308kcash n/a
Positions10 / 72open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.4%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$174kbelow peak −$8,606Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 80.6% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Noclosed+$35.0kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$29.7kWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$24.4kWill STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Noclosed+$19.9kWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? · Noclosed+$10.4k
Worst markets
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$13.2kWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yesclosed−$7,422Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Noclosed−$5,778US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$3,843Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? · Noclosed−$3,030
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 168k | 89.3¢ | 91.5¢ | $153k | +$3,661 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 82.2k | 96.9¢ | 96.9¢ | $79.6k | −$47 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 36.3k | 86.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $34.6k | +$3,153 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 28.3k | 60.9¢ | 58¢ | $16.4k | −$830 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 21.6k | 62¢ | 56.5¢ | $12.2k | −$1,183 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,338 | 84¢ | 88¢ | $4,698 | +$214 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,014 | 95.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $3,857 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 3,078 | 87¢ | 96.1¢ | $2,956 | +$279 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 2,981 | 60.9¢ | 61.5¢ | $1,833 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 296 | 60¢ | 62¢ | $184 | +$5.92 | $0 |
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