sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

reffi

0x480…5134
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,197vol $169k
PnL 30d−$28gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$17win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate81.2%adj 74.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3,607cash n/a
Positions20 / 95open / all-time
Max drawdown−43.6%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$839below peak −$122Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 81.2% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No1,64494¢98¢$1,611+$66$0
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?No72594¢94.7¢$687+$5.08+$8.00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No30089.5¢97.2¢$291+$23$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo22987.4¢91.5¢$209+$9.35$0
ByteDance IPO before 2027?No20595.5¢97.8¢$201+$4.82$0
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?No20093¢96.1¢$192+$6.10$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,35910.7¢7.9¢$107−$39+$25
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?No10088¢96.8¢$97+$8.80$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No20092.3¢28.4¢$57−$128$0
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes30583¢18¢$55−$198$0
SBF released from custody in 2026?No2486¢98.7¢$23+$3.02$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes6644.9¢32¢$21−$8.47$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No3492¢46.5¢$16−$15$0
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes9055¢13¢$12−$38$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes2128.2¢54.5¢$11+$5.41$0
Discord IPO before 2027?Yes10991.3¢7.7¢$8.43−$92$0
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No995.7¢72.1¢$6.72−$2.20$0
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes5032¢3.9¢$1.93−$14$0
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes3,20025.4¢0¢$0−$812$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes4679¢0¢$0−$36+$19

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?27¢2,037$55081%49
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63¢2,500$1,57581%49
BUY NoNetanyahu out by April 30?99.3¢61$6181%49
BUY NoWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?66¢63$4181%49
SELL YesWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?57¢103$5981%49
BUY YesWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?79¢189$14981%49
BUY YesWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?26¢1,200$31281%49
BUY YesWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?25¢2,000$50081%49
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?98¢2,000$1,96081%49
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?99.8¢2,000$1,99681%49
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?99.6¢2,000$1,99281%49
BUY NoWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?96.8¢1,250$1,21081%49
BUY NoExtended FDV above $1B one day after launch?94¢55$5281%49
BUY NoVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?95.7¢9$8.9281%49
BUY NoInk FDV above $2B one day after launch?88¢100$8881%49
SELL NoExtended FDV above $1B one day after launch?93¢100$9381%49
SELL NoOpensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?94.2¢31$2981%49
SELL YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?37¢638$23681%49
SELL YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?62¢638$39681%49
SELL YesWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?21.5¢600$12981%49