| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 400 | 82¢ | 75.5¢ | $302 | −$26 | −$44 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 308 | 93.4¢ | 92.6¢ | $285 | −$2.62 | +$1.10 | |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 297 | 80¢ | 77.5¢ | $230 | −$7.43 | −$101 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 37¢ | 35.5¢ | $142 | −$6.00 | +$79 | |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in October? | No | 184 | 75¢ | 71.5¢ | $132 | −$6.45 | −$1.60 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? | No | 323 | 38¢ | 37.5¢ | $121 | −$1.62 | +$59 | |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | No | 139 | 85.1¢ | 86.5¢ | $120 | +$1.98 | +$0.50 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 400 | 29¢ | 28.5¢ | $114 | −$2.00 | +$82 | |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | No | 315 | 47.5¢ | 34.5¢ | $109 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 110 | 89¢ | 86.5¢ | $95 | −$2.75 | $0 | |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 106 | 88¢ | 87.5¢ | $93 | −$0.53 | −$106 | |
| Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4? | Yes | 127 | 73¢ | 71.5¢ | $90 | −$1.90 | −$0.39 | |
| Will DR Congo win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group E? | Yes | 100 | 90¢ | 88¢ | $88 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000? | Yes | 125 | 70¢ | 68.5¢ | $86 | −$1.87 | −$0.38 | |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $820 in October? | No | 130 | 78¢ | 64.5¢ | $84 | −$18 | −$5.20 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | No | 92 | 90¢ | 89.5¢ | $82 | −$0.46 | −$32 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 21¢ | 20.5¢ | $82 | −$2.00 | +$0.50 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 399 | 23¢ | 20.5¢ | $82 | −$9.97 | +$0.39 | |
| Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | No | 200 | 57¢ | 39¢ | $78 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | Yes | 105 | 85.7¢ | 74¢ | $78 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%? | No | 107 | 78¢ | 72.5¢ | $78 | −$5.89 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | No | 103 | 78¢ | 75¢ | $77 | −$3.09 | $0 | |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31? | No | 83 | 88¢ | 89¢ | $74 | +$0.83 | −$5.17 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 99 | 76¢ | 74.5¢ | $74 | −$1.48 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election? | Yes | 109 | 72.2¢ | 64.5¢ | $70 | −$8.46 | −$0.21 | |
| Will Republicans win white women in the midterms? | No | 83 | 86¢ | 82.5¢ | $69 | −$2.91 | −$18 | |
| Will Michigan State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 139 | 63¢ | 48¢ | $67 | −$21 | −$1.15 | |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028? | Yes | 234 | 42¢ | 28.5¢ | $67 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 400 | 20¢ | 16.5¢ | $66 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October? | No | 94 | 75¢ | 68¢ | $64 | −$6.58 | −$2.40 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? | Yes | 96 | 71¢ | 66.5¢ | $64 | −$4.30 | −$4.12 | |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | No | 201 | 32¢ | 31.5¢ | $63 | −$1.00 | +$177 | |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 116 | 60¢ | 54.5¢ | $63 | −$6.38 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | No | 81 | 89¢ | 75.5¢ | $61 | −$11 | −$11 | |
| Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 86 | 79.2¢ | 71¢ | $61 | −$6.99 | −$0.64 | |
| Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | No | 100 | 61¢ | 57.5¢ | $58 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October? | Yes | 108 | 63¢ | 53¢ | $57 | −$11 | −$0.11 | |
| Will a Sophomore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | No | 63 | 86¢ | 82.5¢ | $52 | −$2.22 | $0 | |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | Yes | 195 | 29¢ | 26.5¢ | $52 | −$4.89 | −$0.34 | |
| Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 60 | 83¢ | 81.5¢ | $49 | −$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100 | 53¢ | 48.5¢ | $49 | −$4.50 | −$14 | |
| Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 61 | 82.1¢ | 78.5¢ | $48 | −$2.20 | −$6.94 | |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 60 | 84¢ | 79.5¢ | $48 | −$2.71 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 54 | 89.4¢ | 86.5¢ | $47 | −$1.55 | −$0.05 | |
| Extended listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? | No | 71 | 83¢ | 64¢ | $45 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | No | 75 | 65¢ | 60¢ | $45 | −$3.76 | −$2.60 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 53 | 88¢ | 84.5¢ | $45 | −$1.87 | −$17 | |
| Will Red Bull Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award? | Yes | 100 | 50¢ | 43.5¢ | $44 | −$6.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? | No | 114 | 40¢ | 37.5¢ | $43 | −$2.86 | −$9.05 | |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | No | 65 | 68¢ | 65.5¢ | $42 | −$1.62 | −$7.59 | |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 51 | 84¢ | 82.5¢ | $42 | −$0.76 | −$0.80 | |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | No | 56 | 75¢ | 73.5¢ | $41 | −$0.84 | $0 | |
| Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 60 | 70¢ | 68.5¢ | $41 | −$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 305,000 and 320,000? | No | 51 | 82¢ | 77¢ | $39 | −$2.56 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in October? | No | 80 | 69¢ | 49¢ | $39 | −$16 | −$11 | |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 200 | 22¢ | 19.5¢ | $39 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? | No | 120 | 34¢ | 32.5¢ | $39 | −$1.79 | +$17 | |
| Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 60 | 68¢ | 64¢ | $38 | −$2.40 | $0 | |
| Will Kevin Fiala record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | No | 40 | 89.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $37 | +$0.65 | $0 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | No | 97 | 41¢ | 37.5¢ | $36 | −$3.39 | −$0.26 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 40 | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $36 | +$0.20 | −$18 | |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | No | 88 | 49¢ | 40.5¢ | $36 | −$7.45 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 95 | 56¢ | 36.5¢ | $35 | −$18 | −$6.82 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | No | 40 | 90¢ | 86.5¢ | $35 | −$1.40 | −$5.00 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? | Yes | 40 | 86¢ | 86.5¢ | $35 | +$0.20 | −$35 | |
| Will the Ottawa Senators record 80+ points? | Yes | 40 | 90¢ | 86.5¢ | $35 | −$1.40 | $0 | |
| Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 59 | 65¢ | 58.5¢ | $35 | −$3.84 | −$0.14 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? | No | 112 | 31¢ | 30.5¢ | $34 | −$0.56 | +$46 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 41 | 89¢ | 83.5¢ | $34 | −$2.24 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | No | 40 | 85¢ | 83¢ | $33 | −$0.80 | −$1.20 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028? | No | 40 | 85¢ | 82.5¢ | $33 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 110m and 115m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | No | 40 | 84¢ | 82¢ | $33 | −$0.80 | +$0.71 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 53 | 62¢ | 61.5¢ | $33 | −$0.27 | −$3.96 | |
| Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | No | 38 | 90.3¢ | 86.5¢ | $32 | −$1.44 | −$1.77 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 40 | 83¢ | 81¢ | $32 | −$0.80 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? | No | 60 | 56¢ | 53.5¢ | $32 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%? | No | 40 | 84¢ | 79.5¢ | $32 | −$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will Azerbaijan win 2026-27 Nations League Group D2? | Yes | 40 | 83¢ | 79¢ | $32 | −$1.60 | $0 | |
| Will Arsenal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? | Yes | 40 | 82¢ | 79¢ | $32 | −$1.20 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 36 | 91¢ | 88¢ | $32 | −$1.08 | −$4.00 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 40 | 79¢ | 78.5¢ | $31 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat? | No | 40 | 79¢ | 78.5¢ | $31 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 40 | 80¢ | 78.5¢ | $31 | −$0.60 | −$20 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? | No | 35 | 89.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $31 | −$0.07 | $0 | |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 175 | 2.1¢ | 17.9¢ | $31 | +$28 | −$14 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13? | No | 49 | 77.9¢ | 63.5¢ | $31 | −$7.08 | −$12 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 12 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 40 | 77¢ | 78¢ | $31 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | No | 34 | 92.2¢ | 91.5¢ | $31 | −$0.24 | −$3.72 | |
| Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 60 | 57¢ | 51.5¢ | $31 | −$3.30 | $0 | |
| Will Chelsea qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 105 | 32¢ | 29.5¢ | $31 | −$2.61 | +$0.40 | |
| Will Toronto Maple Leafs advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? | No | 40 | 78¢ | 77¢ | $31 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Canza FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 45 | 75¢ | 68¢ | $30 | −$3.13 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 39 | 78¢ | 78¢ | $30 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? | Yes | 98 | 37¢ | 30.5¢ | $30 | −$6.40 | −$0.80 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat? | No | 71 | 46¢ | 42.5¢ | $30 | −$2.47 | +$1.56 | |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 in October? | Yes | 171 | 21¢ | 17.5¢ | $30 | −$5.99 | +$0.18 | |
| Will CeeDee Lamb have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 38 | 79¢ | 79¢ | $30 | $0 | −$2.80 | |
| Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by March 31, 2027? | No | 40 | 79¢ | 74.5¢ | $30 | −$1.80 | −$6.20 | |
| Tuyo FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 41 | 90¢ | 72.5¢ | $30 | −$7.17 | −$5.03 | |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 34 | 89¢ | 88¢ | $30 | −$0.34 | −$85 | |
