PnL all-time+$16.5kvol $148k
PnL 30d+$2,798gains $5,002 · losses $618
PnL 7d−$42win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.7%adj 46.9% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$99cash n/a
Positions20 / 370open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.3%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 14d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$20.3kbelow peak −$89Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 46.7% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d52
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$4,281NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,948Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,325Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,172U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Noclosed+$1,939
Worst markets
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? · Noclosed−$618Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$615U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · Noopen−$174Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · Noopen−$161LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs · French Flairclosed−$151
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | Yes | 400 | 30¢ | 18¢ | $72 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,000 | 4.2¢ | 2.8¢ | $27 | −$14 | $0 |
Recent trades
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