| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 21.4k | 85.5¢ | 85.7¢ | $18.3k | +$40 | +$3,893 | |
| Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? | No | 10.0k | 94.4¢ | 91.6¢ | $9,165 | −$280 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 23.5k | 13¢ | 13.5¢ | $3,169 | +$115 | −$0.15 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.0k | 19.4¢ | 19.9¢ | $3,167 | +$71 | +$82 | |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 4,134 | 64.1¢ | 71.5¢ | $2,956 | +$304 | +$13 | |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | No | 2,478 | 79¢ | 69.5¢ | $1,722 | −$236 | $0 | |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | No | 6,020 | 28.2¢ | 20.1¢ | $1,207 | −$488 | $0 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 3,072 | 42¢ | 38.5¢ | $1,183 | −$108 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 1,251 | 64¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,132 | +$332 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 1,299 | 85¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,111 | +$6.48 | +$5.03 | |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | No | 1,239 | 87¢ | 82.5¢ | $1,022 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,244 | 88.9¢ | 82¢ | $1,020 | −$86 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 15.5k | 6¢ | 6.5¢ | $1,008 | +$78 | +$7.40 | |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,003 | 66¢ | 73¢ | $732 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | No | 1,239 | 66¢ | 58.5¢ | $725 | −$93 | $0 | |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | 911 | 77¢ | 77.5¢ | $706 | +$4.51 | +$6.53 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 736 | 83¢ | 94.5¢ | $696 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 2,005 | 37¢ | 33.5¢ | $672 | −$70 | +$241 | |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | No | 815 | 88.9¢ | 81.5¢ | $664 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 1,239 | 46¢ | 51.5¢ | $638 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 772 | 84¢ | 82.5¢ | $637 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 2,232 | 76¢ | 28.5¢ | $636 | −$1,060 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 1,249 | 47¢ | 50.5¢ | $631 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | No | 828 | 76.8¢ | 76¢ | $629 | −$6.47 | $0 | |
| Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 620 | 93¢ | 93.5¢ | $579 | +$3.05 | −$22 | |
| Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 563 | 97¢ | 96.5¢ | $544 | −$2.82 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | No | 786 | 67.1¢ | 64.5¢ | $507 | −$20 | +$1.08 | |
| Will Fjord win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 505 | 89¢ | 96.9¢ | $489 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will a team win a game after trailing by 10,000+ gold at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs? | Yes | 500 | 78¢ | 97.5¢ | $488 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | Yes | 692 | 25¢ | 67.5¢ | $467 | +$294 | $0 | |
| Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | No | 1,239 | 39¢ | 35.5¢ | $440 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 444 | 87¢ | 95.5¢ | $424 | +$37 | −$1.85 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 1,249 | 41.9¢ | 33.5¢ | $418 | −$105 | $0 | |
| Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 454 | 96¢ | 91.6¢ | $416 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 840 | 48.6¢ | 46.5¢ | $391 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 862 | 72.8¢ | 45¢ | $388 | −$240 | $0 | |
| Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next? | No | 449 | 77¢ | 77.5¢ | $348 | +$2.20 | $0 | |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 449 | 74.1¢ | 77.5¢ | $348 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | No | 342 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $342 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Kane | 512 | 47¢ | 62¢ | $317 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15? | No | 488 | 75¢ | 64.5¢ | $315 | −$51 | $0 | |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | Yes | 500 | 55¢ | 61.5¢ | $307 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 2,319 | 27¢ | 13.3¢ | $307 | −$318 | +$1.15 | |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 505 | 48¢ | 59.5¢ | $300 | +$58 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 3,000 | 0.9¢ | 10¢ | $300 | +$272 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | No | 356 | 81¢ | 81.5¢ | $290 | +$1.63 | $0 | |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 476 | 21.6¢ | 56¢ | $267 | +$164 | $0 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026? | No | 350 | 75¢ | 74.5¢ | $261 | −$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | Yes | 908 | 12¢ | 28¢ | $254 | +$145 | $0 | |
| Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 420 | 22.5¢ | 59.5¢ | $250 | +$155 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 1,000 | 35¢ | 25¢ | $250 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 255 | 88¢ | 94.1¢ | $240 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? | Yes | 854 | 48.9¢ | 27.5¢ | $235 | −$183 | $0 | |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 505 | 58¢ | 45.5¢ | $230 | −$63 | $0 | |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | Yes | 503 | 31.5¢ | 45.5¢ | $229 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31? | Stripe | 505 | 73¢ | 43.5¢ | $220 | −$149 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 221 | 90¢ | 98¢ | $216 | +$18 | −$3.86 | |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 505 | 38¢ | 42¢ | $212 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 227 | 94¢ | 91.1¢ | $207 | −$6.75 | +$2.15 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 333 | 60¢ | 61.5¢ | $205 | +$5.00 | +$54 | |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.9¢ | 20.5¢ | $205 | +$196 | +$392 | |
| Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? | No | 200 | 91.3¢ | 98.2¢ | $196 | +$14 | −$2.07 | |
| Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 509 | 56.5¢ | 38.5¢ | $196 | −$91 | +$31 | |
| Will Emma Myers be the live-action Gwen Stacy? | No | 252 | 86¢ | 76¢ | $192 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 219 | 86.6¢ | 84¢ | $184 | −$5.71 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 315 | 71¢ | 57.5¢ | $181 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 489 | 40.3¢ | 36.9¢ | $180 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? | No | 315 | 68.9¢ | 56.5¢ | $178 | −$39 | +$0.26 | |
| Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? | No | 200 | 89¢ | 87.5¢ | $175 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027? | No | 324 | 66¢ | 54¢ | $175 | −$39 | −$13 | |
| Will Guadalajara (Chivas) finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | No | 205 | 86¢ | 82.5¢ | $169 | −$7.22 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 800 | 11.5¢ | 21¢ | $168 | +$76 | +$17 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 3,009 | 0.9¢ | 5.4¢ | $161 | +$133 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 579 | 28¢ | 27.5¢ | $159 | −$2.89 | $0 | |
| Will Oklahoma State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | O 6.5 | 205 | 43¢ | 73.5¢ | $151 | +$62 | $0 | |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | Yes | 3,338 | 8¢ | 4.5¢ | $150 | −$117 | $0 | |
| Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | No | 269 | 51.8¢ | 54.5¢ | $147 | +$7.31 | $0 | |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 329 | 62.9¢ | 43¢ | $141 | −$66 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 247 | 53.8¢ | 56.6¢ | $140 | +$6.92 | +$54 | |
| Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 146 | 65.8¢ | 92.5¢ | $135 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 3,000 | 0.9¢ | 4.5¢ | $135 | +$107 | $0 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1,338 | 32¢ | 9.5¢ | $127 | −$301 | +$5.37 | |
| Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? | Yes | 405 | 28¢ | 31¢ | $126 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? | Down | 167 | 97¢ | 71.5¢ | $119 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | No | 338 | 42.3¢ | 35.2¢ | $119 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will McKenna Grace be the live-action Gwen Stacy? | No | 135 | 89¢ | 85¢ | $115 | −$5.42 | +$0.90 | |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 3,900 | 2.5¢ | 2.9¢ | $111 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Houston have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | U 8.5 | 205 | 53¢ | 53.5¢ | $110 | +$0.98 | $0 | |
| Will West Virginia have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 205 | 58¢ | 50.5¢ | $104 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will West Virginia have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | O 5.5 | 205 | 58¢ | 50¢ | $103 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | No | 100 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$6.95 | $0 | |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 286 | 46.3¢ | 34.6¢ | $99 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will Joe Burrow be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 3,000 | 0.9¢ | 3.3¢ | $99 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | No | 290 | 36.8¢ | 33.6¢ | $97 | −$9.33 | +$6.00 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | No | 505 | 41.4¢ | 19.2¢ | $97 | −$112 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 2,137 | 0.9¢ | 4.5¢ | $96 | +$76 | +$35 | |
| Will Sam Darnold have 17.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 105 | 63¢ | 91¢ | $96 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 85¢ | 95.4¢ | $95 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Kameto Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? | No | 100 | 82¢ | 95.3¢ | $95 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k? | No | 305 | 9¢ | 31¢ | $95 | +$67 | $0 | |