sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,046

dsoperative

0x4be…c1b3
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,996vol $1.22M
PnL 30d+$11.1kgains $11.3k · losses $115
PnL 7d+$7,109win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate87.8%adj 85.3% · 30d 76.5%
Open value$43.9kcash n/a
Positions208 / 495open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,593below peak −$16.3kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 87.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Trump out as President before 2027?No6,10785.2¢95.7¢$5,841+$640$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes7,20056¢63.5¢$4,572+$538$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,50040.6¢85.7¢$3,854+$2,028+$973
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes5,00046.8¢62.5¢$3,125+$785$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00056.7¢61.5¢$3,075+$240$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00046.5¢44.5¢$2,225−$100−$35
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,00068.7¢71.5¢$2,145+$85$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes2,40063.2¢71.5¢$1,716+$199$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes4,00064¢42.5¢$1,700−$860$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00032.2¢26.5¢$1,325−$285$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No2,00054¢61.5¢$1,230+$150$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,30075¢94.5¢$1,229+$254$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No2,00019.8¢57¢$1,140+$744$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No1,00090¢95.5¢$955+$55$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No1,00082¢93.5¢$935+$115$0
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No1,00081¢88.5¢$885+$75+$8.00
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes1,75348¢48.5¢$850+$8.77$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No1,00078¢77.5¢$775−$5.00$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,00050¢62.5¢$625+$125$0
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?No50089¢95.5¢$477+$32$0
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No49981.4¢94¢$469+$63$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No1,00064.8¢42.2¢$422−$226$0
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No42189¢96.6¢$407+$32+$4.19
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No40485¢88.6¢$358+$14+$12
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No35671.2¢97.5¢$347+$94$0
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?No34937.4¢81¢$283+$152$0
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?No50057¢56.5¢$282−$2.50$0
Natural Disaster in 2026?No30052¢93.5¢$281+$125$0
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?No29071¢92.6¢$268+$63$0
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes30080.9¢87.2¢$262+$19+$21
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No30086¢86.5¢$260+$1.50$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No40064¢63.5¢$254−$2.00$0
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No20088¢96.6¢$193+$17$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes31169¢61.5¢$191−$23$0
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?Yes1,15017.7¢15.5¢$178−$25$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No25066¢63.5¢$159−$6.25$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes12671.7¢92.5¢$116+$26$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes20054.1¢54.6¢$109+$0.84$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic10077¢96.1¢$96+$19$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes19255¢47.5¢$91−$14$0
Rain during the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes15027¢41.5¢$62+$22$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes30064¢16.5¢$50−$143+$23
Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?Yes5075¢81.5¢$41+$3.25$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes6019¢20.5¢$12+$0.90$0
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No240¢96.4¢$1.98+$1.16$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?Yes200k0.1¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No35.0k40.8¢0¢$0−$14.3k$0
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes31.6k0.4¢0¢$0−$126−$0.25
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes25.0k1.6¢0¢$0−$390−$12
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes16.4k0.3¢0¢$0−$55−$0.01
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No14.6k58.3¢0¢$0−$8,498$0
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes14.2k7.1¢0¢$0−$1,008−$0.05
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes10.3k13.1¢0¢$0−$1,351+$519
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes10.2k0.7¢0¢$0−$68$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes10.2k1.2¢0¢$0−$123$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,00010.1¢0¢$0−$912+$2,415
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes8,8400.4¢0¢$0−$38−$0.01
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes7,9543¢0¢$0−$239−$0.03
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes7,30011.2¢0¢$0−$819−$0.07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes7,00046.6¢0¢$0−$3,265−$873
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,0002.3¢0¢$0−$138−$4.04
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0002.6¢0¢$0−$130−$3.80
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?Yes4,67148.8¢0¢$0−$2,280$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes4,0009.1¢0¢$0−$365$0
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Yes3,4757.1¢0¢$0−$248$0
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Yes3,4376.5¢0¢$0−$224$0
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes3,25041¢0¢$0−$1,333−$24
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?No3,15039.5¢0¢$0−$1,246−$28
Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes3,0506¢0¢$0−$184−$0.15
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No3,00045.7¢0¢$0−$1,370$0
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes3,0000.9¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes3,0008.4¢0¢$0−$253$0
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No3,00043.7¢0¢$0−$1,310$0
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes2,8495.2¢0¢$0−$147+$0.19
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No2,63066.2¢0¢$0−$1,741$0
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No2,59024.3¢0¢$0−$630$0
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No2,50035.8¢0¢$0−$894$0
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?No2,50049.6¢0¢$0−$1,240$0
Will France win on 2026-07-04?No2,50017¢0¢$0−$425−$11
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes2,50040.8¢0¢$0−$1,020$0
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No2,30067¢0¢$0−$1,541$0
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?No2,00051¢0¢$0−$1,020−$15
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes2,00016.3¢0¢$0−$326$0
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes2,00025.5¢0¢$0−$510−$7.70
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?Yes2,00066¢0¢$0−$1,320$0
Will England win on 2026-07-05?No2,00060¢0¢$0−$1,200$0
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes2,00034¢0¢$0−$680$0
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?No2,00043¢0¢$0−$860−$15
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes2,00014¢0¢$0−$280$0
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No2,00022¢0¢$0−$440$0
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No2,00064.2¢0¢$0−$1,285$0
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes2,00016.1¢0¢$0−$322−$122
Will Chart Thai Pattana Party (CTPP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes1,6001.9¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Democrat Party (DP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes1,6001.9¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Kla Tham Party (KT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes1,6001.9¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Prachachat Party (PCC) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes1,6001.9¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will United Thai Nation Party (UTN) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes1,6001.9¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes1,6001.9¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes1,52116¢0¢$0−$243$0
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?No1,50042¢0¢$0−$630−$11

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?54.1¢200$10888%58
SELL YesWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?23¢200$4688%58
BUY YesWill Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?75¢50$3888%58
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?62¢500$31088%58
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?66¢250$16588%58
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?66¢2,000$1,32088%58
BUY YesRain during the Singapore Grand Prix?27¢150$4188%58
BUY NoWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?86¢300$25888%58
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.6¢1,500$1,25488%58
BUY YesWill Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?26.8¢900$24188%58
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?74¢2,059$1,52488%58
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?58.3¢3,000$1,74988%58
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?42¢3,000$1,26088%58
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?42¢5,000$2,10088%58
BUY YesWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?12¢1,500$18088%58
BUY NoWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?38¢2,000$76088%58
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?19¢60$1188%58
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?62¢200$12488%58
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?69¢111$7788%58
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?69¢200$13888%58