sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,183

cyfra

0x4c2…65dc
PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoSportPoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$24.6kvol $29.9M
PnL 30d+$3,477gains $2,597 · losses $264
PnL 7d+$4,771win rate 7d 70.0%
Win rate71.5%adj 70.6% · 30d 75.8%
Open value$4,253cash n/a
Positions1,086 / 2,590open / all-time
Max drawdown−43.1%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 34m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$32.8kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 71.5% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity57

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No1,03578.3¢79.9¢$827+$16$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?Yes7,2651.7¢9.9¢$716+$589+$530
Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes129k0.2¢0.4¢$450+$156+$17
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?Yes17.6k1.9¢2.1¢$361+$18$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?Yes1,25624¢27.5¢$345+$44$0
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes2,60014.6¢9.5¢$247−$133$0
Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes17.5k0.6¢0.9¢$157+$52+$2.51
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?Yes91114.8¢15.5¢$141+$6.67$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes60024.3¢22.5¢$135−$11$0
Will RB Leipzig win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes17.8k0.3¢0.5¢$89+$35+$31
Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 5-11?Yes2,6204.4¢3.3¢$85−$31$0
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Yes20034¢41.5¢$83+$15$0
Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes9,0350.4¢0.7¢$59+$23+$2.24
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes23.5k0.2¢0.3¢$59+$12+$26
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?Yes51110.2¢10.5¢$54+$1.56$0
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?Yes44323¢11.5¢$51−$51$0
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Yes22416.8¢18.5¢$42+$3.85$0
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?Yes20032.4¢16.8¢$34−$31$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11?Yes2,5000.4¢1.3¢$32+$23$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?Yes654.7¢46.6¢$30+$27+$1,184
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?Yes7114.3¢3.8¢$27−$3.53$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?Yes4007.5¢6.5¢$26−$4.00$0
Will XRP dip to $1.30 October 5-11?Yes10017.3¢24.9¢$25+$7.55$0
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes2,2120.6¢1.1¢$24+$11+$18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?Yes4792.7¢4.9¢$23+$10$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4848¢39.9¢$19−$3.89−$80
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes18214.8¢8.5¢$15−$12−$7.62
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?Yes1007¢11.7¢$12+$4.65$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?Yes4003¢2.9¢$11−$0.60$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,00014¢1.1¢$10−$129$0
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?Yes5400.3¢1.8¢$9.72+$8.10+$9.38
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2103.8¢3.2¢$6.62−$1.36$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes20010¢3.3¢$6.60−$13$0
USDC depeg by December 31?Yes4302.8¢1.5¢$6.45−$5.41$0
USDTb depeg by December 31?Yes1006¢6.3¢$6.25+$0.25$0
USD0 depeg by December 31?Yes965¢6¢$5.78+$0.96$0
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes22112.5¢2.2¢$4.75−$23−$8.66
Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1,6580.3¢0.3¢$4.14−$0.83$0
USDS depeg by December 31?Yes1005¢3.9¢$3.90−$1.10$0
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes27319.6¢1.2¢$3.13−$50+$12
GHO depeg by December 31?Yes1006¢3.1¢$3.05−$2.95$0
USDE depeg by December 31?Yes1005¢2.9¢$2.95−$2.05+$6.95
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes2454¢9.5¢$2.26−$11+$116
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11?Yes7001.5¢0.3¢$1.75−$8.75$0
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?No3,30010.1¢0.1¢$1.65−$330+$1.16
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?No234¢92.6¢$1.40+$0.89$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?Yes84.2¢14.2¢$1.15+$0.81+$84
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 October 5-11?Yes4000.6¢0.2¢$0.80−$1.60$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?Yes9690.2¢0.1¢$0.48−$1.45+$0.09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 140 and 150 million views on week 1?Yes5926.1¢0.1¢$0.30−$36+$6.52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?Yes5000.5¢0.1¢$0.25−$2.25$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?Yes1003.8¢0.3¢$0.25−$3.55$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 October 5-11?Yes4000.8¢0.1¢$0.20−$3.00$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?Yes2331.2¢0.1¢$0.12−$2.72+$3.62
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 5-11?Yes20.5¢2.2¢$0.05+$0.04$0
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?Yes70.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$72+$33
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?Yes60.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$69+$22
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes50.2k0.6¢0¢$0−$292−$55
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?Yes50.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$50+$4.40
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?No47.3k0.2¢0¢$0−$82+$57
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?Yes40.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$80+$20
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes35.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$65$0
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes30.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$60+$0.85
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?Yes26.3k0.1¢0¢$0−$38+$23
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?Yes20.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$35+$70
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes18.0k0.3¢0¢$0−$54+$47
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?No15.5k0.1¢0¢$0−$19+$1.89
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No15.0k0.3¢0¢$0−$52+$242
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-11?Yes12.2k9¢0¢$0−$1,098+$0.09
US forces enter Iran by December 31?No11.8k0.3¢0¢$0−$36−$127
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No10.8k3.3¢0¢$0−$354+$266
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?Yes10.3k0.4¢0¢$0−$39−$0.50
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?No10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$10+$1.96
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No10.0k0.5¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes9,7540.2¢0¢$0−$20+$0.25
Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes8,9430.1¢0¢$0−$8.94+$18
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?Yes8,8190.2¢0¢$0−$20+$25
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No8,7290.4¢0¢$0−$37$0
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes8,6002.1¢0¢$0−$180−$107
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20?Yes8,1713¢0¢$0−$244−$16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?Yes8,0550.3¢0¢$0−$23+$33
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Yes7,9660.7¢0¢$0−$56+$0.14
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Yes7,1510.3¢0¢$0−$18−$12
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-01?Yes6,8600.1¢0¢$0−$6.86+$36
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes6,3140.2¢0¢$0−$13+$0.82
Football.Fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes6,1840.4¢0¢$0−$22+$7.28
Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale?Yes6,0360.1¢0¢$0−$6.04$0
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?Yes6,00022¢0¢$0−$1,320$0
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-05?Yes5,9971.2¢0¢$0−$73−$4.30
Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes5,9660.2¢0¢$0−$14+$8.07
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Yes5,6531.3¢0¢$0−$73$0
Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes5,5881.2¢0¢$0−$66$0
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?Yes5,4950.1¢0¢$0−$5.49+$5.01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes5,2740.7¢0¢$0−$38−$5.65
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 17, 2026?Yes5,1080.4¢0¢$0−$20+$0.85
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0266.3¢0¢$0−$317+$225
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0000.3¢0¢$0−$13+$2.64
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No5,00092¢0¢$0−$4,600−$25
Will Ceará SC vs. Vila Nova FC end in a draw?No5,0000.1¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?No5,0001.5¢0¢$0−$73+$34

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11?0.9¢1,490$1372%70
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?14¢211$3072%70
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?24¢656$15772%70
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?5¢111$5.5572%70
SELL YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?19.2¢774$14872%70
SELL YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?22.8¢444$10172%70
SELL YesWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?58.3¢372$21772%70
SELL YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?73.3¢62$4572%70
SELL YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?70¢100$7072%70
BUY YesWill XRP dip to $1.20 October 5-11?4.8¢1,300$6272%70
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?17¢200$3472%70
SELL YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?61.1¢205$12572%70
BUY YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?3.5¢4,000$14072%70
BUY YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?1.1¢989$1172%70
BUY YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?1.9¢1,000$1972%70
BUY YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?5¢500$2572%70
BUY YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?1.7¢989$1772%70
BUY YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?1.7¢300$5.1072%70
BUY YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?1.7¢600$1072%70
BUY YesWill XRP dip to $1.20 October 5-11?3.1¢120$3.7272%70