sharpside
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Traders/Rank #460

defillama7

0x4c8…e36f
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$440kvol $3.76M
PnL 30d+$92.3kgains $112k · losses $121
PnL 7d+$67.5kwin rate 7d 85.7%
Win rate87.2%adj 76.1% · 30d 87.5%
Open value$32.0kcash n/a
Positions21 / 68open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 44m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$444kbelow peak −$3,638Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale81
Adjusted win rateraw 87.2% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No20.9k77.8¢80.5¢$16.8k+$550$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes124k15.6¢13.5¢$16.7k−$2,584+$695
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No5,56678¢70.5¢$3,924−$417$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1,78467.7¢96¢$1,712+$504$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes90058¢14.5¢$131−$392$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No165k21.6¢0¢$0−$35.7k−$315
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes93.1k14¢0¢$0−$13.0k−$739
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes71.0k24.3¢0¢$0−$17.3k−$491
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?No62.3k46.8¢0¢$0−$29.2k−$2,273
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes36.7k47.3¢0¢$0−$17.4k−$3,387
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No36.1k36.7¢0¢$0−$13.2k−$191
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No17.8k2.7¢0¢$0−$479−$12
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No12.5k15¢0¢$0−$1,870−$64
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9,48017¢0¢$0−$1,613−$32
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes9,00045.3¢0¢$0−$4,080$0
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes6,94564.3¢0¢$0−$4,464$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes4,81874.6¢0¢$0−$3,594−$2,529
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Yes4,80726.5¢0¢$0−$1,276−$22
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes3,75518.1¢0¢$0−$679−$0.16
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?No3,47926¢0¢$0−$905−$0.77
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Yes1,20021.5¢0¢$0−$258$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?80.4¢472$37987%69
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?80.3¢5,000$4,01587%69
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?80.1¢3,517$2,81787%69
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14¢7,939$1,11187%69
SELL NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14¢10.0k$1,39787%69
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢80.0k$12.8k87%69Whale
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.8¢5,295$4,49087%69
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.8¢9,432$7,90487%69
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢27.2k$4,35787%69
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.6¢27.8k$23.5k87%69Whale
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢61.2k$52.0k87%69Whale
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?33¢329$10987%69
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?33¢721$23887%69
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?32.7¢263$8687%69
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?34¢963$32787%69
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?34¢1,574$53587%69
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?33¢6$1.8887%69
BUY YesWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢3,771$60387%69
BUY YesWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?15¢2,025$30487%69
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?32¢2,768$88687%69