sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,319

RolandChang

0x4d1…1419
WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$478vol $2.32M
PnL 30d+$1,367gains $1,848 · losses $1,022
PnL 7d+$264win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate71.5%adj 70.7% · 30d 78.3%
Open value$7,539cash n/a
Positions39 / 727open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$27below peak −$14.8kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.5% · shrunk toward 50%77
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 39

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,00091¢90.5¢$1,810−$10+$26
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?Yes1,08091.8¢93.5¢$1,010+$19$0
Over $2.5B crypto hack value in 2026?Yes1,01790.9¢98.5¢$1,002+$77$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes75083.6¢88.6¢$665+$38+$5.42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No90070.6¢64.5¢$580−$55$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No64785.8¢82.1¢$531−$24−$2,997
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes75078.9¢65.5¢$491−$101$0
Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?Yes45753¢75.1¢$343+$101$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes40063.5¢62.5¢$250−$4.00$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes44961.1¢51.9¢$233−$42$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes20082¢89.5¢$179+$15$0
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes79327.7¢22.5¢$178−$42$0
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes50052.2¢23.5¢$118−$143$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes20028¢29.5¢$59+$3.00$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes32319.9¢14.9¢$48−$16+$470
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,0001.7¢1.7¢$16−$1.00$0
Over $3.5B crypto hack value in 2026?Yes10817.6¢12.7¢$14−$5.36$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,0000.7¢1¢$10+$3.00$0
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,0000.4¢0.2¢$1.50−$2.50$0
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No6,22167.8¢0¢$0−$4,219+$85
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes5,12096.6¢0¢$0−$4,945−$6.21
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes2,00069¢0¢$0−$1,380$0
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No1,93595.3¢0¢$0−$1,845−$2.52
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes1,26419.4¢0¢$0−$245−$142
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes99077.1¢0¢$0−$763−$670
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?Up50050¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?Yes38373¢0¢$0−$280−$395
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12?Down23440.8¢0¢$0−$96+$5.57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Down23049¢0¢$0−$113+$0.70
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Yes22110.9¢0¢$0−$24−$0.86
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No21420.6¢0¢$0−$44−$1.36
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes20057¢0¢$0−$114−$2.45
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?Up20068.5¢0¢$0−$137−$433
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?Up20050.5¢0¢$0−$101$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes2007.2¢0¢$0−$14$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?Up15046¢0¢$0−$69$0
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?Yes1008¢0¢$0−$8.00$0
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?No7179.2¢0¢$0−$57−$474
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?Down346.4¢0¢$0−$1.29+$13

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?51.8¢260$13572%44
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢2,000$1,82072%44
BUY YesOver $3B crypto hack value in 2026?60.7¢100$6172%44
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House28¢200$5672%44
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?64¢200$12872%44
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?61.4¢150$9272%44
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?92¢244$22572%44
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?90¢200$18072%44
BUY YesSituational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?5¢200$1072%44
BUY YesWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?82¢200$16472%44
BUY YesOver $2.5B crypto hack value in 2026?97.2¢322$31372%44
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.8¢277$27372%44
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.5¢2,000$1,97072%44
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?92.7¢513$47572%44
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?86.4¢105$9172%44
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.4¢2,866$2,82072%44
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?71¢200$14272%44
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.3¢556$54772%44
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?70.8¢200$14272%44
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?87¢200$17472%44