sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,118

scottxia1988

0x4e0…d784
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$180kvol $7.19M
PnL 30d+$3,261gains $1,464 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$66win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate81.5%adj 79.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$16.9kcash n/a
Positions16 / 276open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.4%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 28d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$181kbelow peak −$5,613Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 81.5% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d5
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 16

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No13.5k93¢97.5¢$13.2k+$601$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No2,85069.7¢74¢$2,109+$122$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,30047.8¢30.5¢$701−$397$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No40092¢96.2¢$385+$17$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No24091.1¢97.6¢$234+$15$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes4,3507.9¢5¢$215−$129+$181
US x China Military clash before 2027?No4194.7¢97.5¢$40+$1.13$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No50261.9¢4.1¢$20−$291$0
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No2273¢91¢$20+$4.00$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes6006.2¢1.1¢$6.60−$31$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes40029¢0.9¢$3.40−$113$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes3,10041.8¢0¢$0−$1,297−$23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?No1,90090.4¢0¢$0−$1,718$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes1,20079.7¢0¢$0−$956$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes53060.9¢0¢$0−$323−$0.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Yes49536.8¢0¢$0−$182−$1.22

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill annual inflation be 3.8% in August?99¢2,250$2,22882%74Sharp
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?93¢3,500$3,25582%74Sharp
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?93¢5,000$4,65082%74Sharp
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?93¢5,000$4,65082%74Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?43¢400$17282%74Sharp
BUY NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?68¢70$4882%74Sharp
BUY NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?68¢200$13682%74Sharp
BUY NoChina x Japan military clash before 2027?92¢228$21082%74Sharp
BUY NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?70¢50$3582%74Sharp
BUY NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?70¢500$35082%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?96.2¢21$2082%74Sharp
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?69¢100$6982%74Sharp
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?40¢30$1282%74Sharp
BUY NoTrump out as President by August 31?99.3¢1,054$1,04782%74Sharp
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?63¢100$6382%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?91.2¢240$21982%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?60¢100$6082%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?83¢200$16682%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?93¢400$37282%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?94¢150$14182%74Sharp