Traders/Rank #286

e46m3

0x4f1…8de2@love_u_4ever

PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$671kvol $19.3M

PnL 30d+$1.96Mgains $55.8k · losses $25.3k

PnL 7d+$622kwin rate 7d 45.8%

Win rate45.8%adj 46.0% · 30d 45.8%

Open value$30.6kcash n/a

Positions2,000 / 51,340open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age6molast trade 14m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1.75Mbelow peak −$555kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale83

Adjusted win rateraw 45.8% · shrunk toward 50%15

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$30.1k Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Noopen+$20.2k Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yesopen+$18.2k Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesopen+$18.0k Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina? · Yesopen+$16.8k

Worst markets

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 · Overopen−$18.0k Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Noclosed−$5,917 Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Noclosed−$4,434 Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Noclosed−$4,231 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$4,172

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	6,516	37.4¢	63.5¢	$4,138	+$1,702	+$320	26d 4h
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	6,041	29.8¢	27.5¢	$1,661	−$141	+$985	26d 4h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	6,240	12.8¢	9.5¢	$593	−$205	+$2,597	26d 4h
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	7,649	2.8¢	1¢	$73	−$140	+$5,609	ended
Will Steph Curry's next team be Philadelphia 76ers?	Yes	2,067	3¢	1.3¢	$26	−$37	$0	4mo
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	7,168	1.7¢	0.3¢	$22	−$102	+$1,451	18mo
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	3,780	4.2¢	0.5¢	$17	−$140	+$2,479	8mo
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	7,816	7.6¢	0.2¢	$16	−$580	+$1,769	26d 4h
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	31.0k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$16	−$328	+$24	22d 4h
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	31.0k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$16	−$328	+$65	3mo
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	31.0k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$16	−$328	+$12	22d 4h
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	31.0k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$16	−$328	+$12	22d 4h
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	31.0k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$16	−$328	+$11	22d 4h
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	30.8k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$15	−$325	+$26	22d 4h
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	2,152	3.6¢	0.7¢	$14	−$63	+$436	19d 4h
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	23.6k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$12	−$250	+$2,482	3mo
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	7,093	4.2¢	0.2¢	$11	−$285	+$1,692	8mo
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	10.3k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$10	−$310	+$592	22d 4h
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	6,583	4.2¢	0.2¢	$9.87	−$264	+$1,938	8mo
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	19.3k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$9.63	−$204	+$983	3mo
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	18.1k	2¢	0.1¢	$9.04	−$359	$0	23d 4h
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	17.9k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$8.94	−$549	$0	22d 4h
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	17.9k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$8.94	−$549	+$3.75	22d 4h
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	17.9k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$8.94	−$549	+$3.75	22d 4h
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	17.9k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$8.94	−$549	+$3.75	22d 4h
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	17.9k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$8.94	−$549	+$3.75	22d 4h
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	17.9k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$8.94	−$549	$0	22d 4h
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	17.9k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$8.94	−$549	+$3.75	22d 4h
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	17.7k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$8.86	−$544	+$63	22d 4h
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	17.2k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$8.58	−$527	+$79	22d 4h
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	17.0k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$8.51	−$180	+$1,220	3mo
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	17.0k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$8.50	−$522	+$76	22d 4h
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	16.5k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$8.26	−$507	+$4.59	22d 4h
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	14.8k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$7.41	−$455	+$71	22d 4h
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	14.8k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$7.39	−$454	+$23	22d 4h
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	14.7k	2.8¢	0.1¢	$7.35	−$401	+$2,305	ended
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	14.7k	2.8¢	0.1¢	$7.34	−$400	+$2,293	ended
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	14.7k	2.8¢	0.1¢	$7.33	−$400	+$2,290	ended
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	14.7k	2.8¢	0.1¢	$7.33	−$400	+$2,290	ended
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	14.3k	2.8¢	0.1¢	$7.14	−$389	+$518	ended
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	13.3k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$6.63	−$172	+$6.22	3mo
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	13.1k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$6.54	−$170	+$8.14	3mo
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	13.1k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$6.54	−$170	+$8.14	3mo
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	13.1k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$6.54	−$170	+$8.14	3mo
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	13.1k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$6.54	−$170	+$8.07	3mo
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	13.1k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$6.53	−$170	+$8.80	3mo
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	12.0k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$6.02	−$156	+$58	3mo
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	12.0k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$6.02	−$156	+$57	3mo
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	11.8k	2.7¢	0.1¢	$5.89	−$312	$0	16d 4h
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	11.8k	2.7¢	0.1¢	$5.89	−$312	$0	16d 4h
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	11.8k	2.7¢	0.1¢	$5.89	−$312	$0	16d 4h
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	11.8k	2.7¢	0.1¢	$5.89	−$312	$0	16d 4h
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	11.8k	2.7¢	0.1¢	$5.89	−$312	$0	16d 4h
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	11.8k	2.7¢	0.1¢	$5.89	−$312	$0	16d 4h
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	11.8k	2.7¢	0.1¢	$5.89	−$312	$0	16d 4h
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	11.8k	2.7¢	0.1¢	$5.89	−$312	$0	16d 4h
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	11.5k	7.7¢	0.1¢	$5.77	−$882	+$1,008	3mo
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	11.5k	3.3¢	0.1¢	$5.74	−$377	$0	51d 4h
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	11.1k	7.7¢	0.1¢	$5.53	−$845	+$1,048	3mo
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	10.4k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$5.18	−$135	+$28	3mo
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	10.3k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$5.17	−$318	+$206	22d 4h
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	10.3k	3.1¢	0.1¢	$5.13	−$315	+$96	22d 4h
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	10.2k	20¢	0.1¢	$5.11	−$2,039	+$86	21d 4h
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	4,955	2.2¢	0.1¢	$4.96	−$105	+$235	26d 4h
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	9,420	7.7¢	0.1¢	$4.71	−$720	+$1,638	3mo
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2,333	2.8¢	0.2¢	$4.67	−$60	+$3,816	ended
Will Hsu Chih-chieh win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	2,320	3¢	0.2¢	$4.64	−$66	+$6.11	51d 4h
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	9,070	1.7¢	0.1¢	$4.54	−$152	+$532	18mo
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	8,754	20¢	0.1¢	$4.38	−$1,746	+$384	21d 4h
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	8,447	1.7¢	0.1¢	$4.22	−$141	+$72	18mo
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	8,447	1.7¢	0.1¢	$4.22	−$141	+$72	18mo
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	8,447	1.7¢	0.1¢	$4.22	−$141	+$72	18mo
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	8,447	1.7¢	0.1¢	$4.22	−$141	+$72	18mo
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	8,435	1.7¢	0.1¢	$4.22	−$141	+$0.37	18mo
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	8,435	1.7¢	0.1¢	$4.22	−$141	+$0.37	18mo
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	8,435	1.7¢	0.1¢	$4.22	−$141	+$0.37	18mo
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	8,435	1.7¢	0.1¢	$4.22	−$141	+$0.37	18mo
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	8,435	1.7¢	0.1¢	$4.22	−$141	$0	18mo
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	8,109	2.2¢	0.1¢	$4.05	−$176	+$4,413	26d 4h
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	7,734	2.6¢	0.1¢	$3.87	−$194	+$18	19d 4h
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	7,734	2.6¢	0.1¢	$3.87	−$194	+$18	19d 4h
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	7,722	2.5¢	0.1¢	$3.86	−$189	+$22	17d 4h
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	7,697	2.6¢	0.1¢	$3.85	−$193	+$18	19d 4h
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	7,456	2.5¢	0.1¢	$3.73	−$183	$0	17d 4h
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	7,444	2.5¢	0.1¢	$3.72	−$182	+$22	17d 4h
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	7,444	2.5¢	0.1¢	$3.72	−$182	+$0.01	17d 4h
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	7,444	2.5¢	0.1¢	$3.72	−$182	+$148	17d 4h
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	7,309	2.5¢	0.1¢	$3.65	−$179	+$148	17d 4h
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	7,309	2.5¢	0.1¢	$3.65	−$179	+$0.01	17d 4h
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	7,214	1.7¢	0.1¢	$3.61	−$121	+$497	18mo
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	7,065	3.4¢	0.1¢	$3.53	−$240	$0	26d 4h
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	7,065	3.4¢	0.1¢	$3.53	−$240	$0	26d 4h
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	6,755	3.4¢	0.1¢	$3.38	−$230	$0	26d 4h
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	6,755	3.4¢	0.1¢	$3.38	−$230	$0	26d 4h
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	6,755	3.4¢	0.1¢	$3.38	−$230	$0	26d 4h
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	6,716	4.3¢	0.1¢	$3.36	−$289	$0	ended
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	6,716	4.3¢	0.1¢	$3.36	−$289	$0	ended
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	6,692	4.3¢	0.1¢	$3.35	−$288	$0	ended
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	6,591	4.3¢	0.1¢	$3.30	−$283	$0	ended
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	6,591	4.3¢	0.1¢	$3.30	−$283	+$11	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
14m ago	BUY No	Will "UNABOMBER" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	99.9¢	13	$13	46%	49
14m ago	BUY No	Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	99.5¢	13	$13	46%	49
17m ago	BUY No	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	77¢	8	$6.16	46%	49
17m ago	BUY No	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	98¢	8	$7.84	46%	49
23m ago	BUY No	Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	99.8¢	43	$43	46%	49
23m ago	BUY No	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	76¢	43	$32	46%	49
23m ago	BUY No	Will Josephine win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	99.9¢	43	$43	46%	49
26m ago	BUY No	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	78¢	8	$6.24	46%	49
26m ago	BUY No	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	72¢	8	$5.76	46%	49
26m ago	BUY No	Will the Student List win 30-35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	95¢	32	$31	46%	49
26m ago	BUY No	Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	72¢	32	$23	46%	49
27m ago	BUY No	Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	34¢	13	$4.35	46%	49
28m ago	BUY No	Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	99.7¢	42	$42	46%	49
28m ago	BUY No	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	92.5¢	42	$39	46%	49
33m ago	BUY No	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	99.9¢	1,200	$1,199	46%	49
33m ago	BUY No	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	99.9¢	1,200	$1,199	46%	49
33m ago	BUY No	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	99¢	1,200	$1,188	46%	49
33m ago	BUY No	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	99¢	344	$340	46%	49
33m ago	BUY No	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	96.6¢	344	$332	46%	49
33m ago	BUY No	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	99.9¢	344	$343	46%	49