sharpside
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Traders/Rank #23,384

Hiworld.

0x4f2…90db
WR 60+PoliticsOtherWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$16.5kvol $3.38M
PnL 30d+$2,223gains $4,394 · losses $683
PnL 7d−$52win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate61.5%adj 60.9% · 30d 65.0%
Open value$18.5kcash n/a
Positions62 / 457open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 14h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$22.1kbelow peak −$59.3kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 61.5% · shrunk toward 50%52
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 62

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No10.0k50¢77.9¢$7,785+$2,785$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.0k50¢22.2¢$2,215−$2,785$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No5,59561.2¢28.4¢$1,592−$1,831$0
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No1,53784.3¢88.5¢$1,360+$64$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4,10053.2¢23.5¢$963−$1,218$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1,00082¢84¢$840+$20$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes84981¢84¢$714+$25$0
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?No75883¢92.4¢$700+$71+$0.60
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No4,52749.7¢12.3¢$557−$1,692−$581
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes9,34120¢5.5¢$514−$1,354+$6.59
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1,0001.4¢46¢$460+$446$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes10.2k0.7¢2.4¢$240+$172$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes1,35232¢11.5¢$155−$277$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?No11188.9¢96.3¢$106+$8.14+$35
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No10078.8¢66.6¢$67−$12$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No18934¢23.5¢$44−$20$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes751.4¢53¢$40+$39+$80
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No10029¢33.5¢$34+$4.50$0
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes1,00012.7¢2.8¢$27−$100$0
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes6,6011.8¢0.4¢$23−$97$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2,6199.7¢0.8¢$20−$236$0
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes2758.1¢68¢$19+$2.70$0
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?No10021¢15.5¢$16−$5.50$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1083.6¢86.4¢$8.63+$0.28$0
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1,3481.8¢0.6¢$8.09−$16$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1050¢79.5¢$7.95+$2.95+$35
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes15716.8¢4.8¢$7.45−$19−$824
Lai Ching-te visits US by December 31?No389¢94¢$2.71+$0.14$0
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No9111¢0.7¢$0.63−$9.32$0
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes13.8k5.7¢0¢$0−$790$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes10.7k1¢0¢$0−$105−$5.18
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.0k1.7¢0¢$0−$170−$5.01
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$40−$1.20
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes10,0009¢0¢$0−$900$0
Will Putin visit China by May 31?No9,9980.1¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes5,5664.5¢0¢$0−$249−$245
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes4,0003.6¢0¢$0−$143$0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes4,0003.6¢0¢$0−$143$0
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes4,0003.6¢0¢$0−$143$0
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes4,0003.6¢0¢$0−$143$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes4,0003.6¢0¢$0−$143$0
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes3,5047.5¢0¢$0−$264$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes3,3543.6¢0¢$0−$120+$35
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?No2,0006¢0¢$0−$120$0
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes1,38323¢0¢$0−$318$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes60065¢0¢$0−$390$0
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes50020¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes50024¢0¢$0−$120$0
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?Yes17014.2¢0¢$0−$24−$1.04
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No10080¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes1003.6¢0¢$0−$3.57$0
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Under10065¢0¢$0−$65−$0.68
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceNetherlands10092¢0¢$0−$92−$0.22
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes1003.6¢0¢$0−$3.57$0
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes1003.6¢0¢$0−$3.57$0
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes1003.6¢0¢$0−$3.57$0
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes1003.6¢0¢$0−$3.57$0
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes1003.6¢0¢$0−$3.57$0
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in September?No906.9¢0¢$0−$6.21−$0.29
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes5619.9¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes5230¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No1264¢0¢$0−$7.56$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?89¢116$10362%36
BUY YesWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?88¢42$3762%36
BUY YesWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?89¢51$4562%36
BUY YesWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?81¢849$68862%36
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.6¢10$8.3662%36
BUY YesWill The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?82¢1,000$82062%36
BUY YesUS x China tariff agreement by September 30?84¢100$8462%36
SELL NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?73¢69$5062%36
SELL NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?73¢354$25862%36
BUY YesWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?63¢50$3262%36
BUY NoWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?99.3¢10$9.9362%36
BUY NoWill Trump say "Boeing" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?99¢3$3.3662%36
SELL YesWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?1¢412$4.1262%36
SELL YesWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?3¢58$1.7462%36
SELL NoWill Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?94.5¢79$7562%36
BUY NoWill the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?62¢100$6262%36
BUY YesWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?45¢100$4562%36
SELL NoSundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?92.8¢10$9.2862%36
BUY YesWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?0.8¢1,592$1362%36
BUY YesWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?0.7¢3,715$2662%36