Traders/Rank #352

Bigggggggg

0x511…cbe1

PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+SportPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$559kvol $36.2M

PnL 30d+$384kgains $276k · losses $49.6k

PnL 7d+$430kwin rate 7d 47.2%

Win rate47.2%adj 47.3% · 30d 47.2%

Open value$4,565cash n/a

Positions2,000 / 11,085open / all-time

Max drawdown−32.9%of equity peak

Account age5molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1.42Mbelow peak −$245kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale82

Adjusted win rateraw 47.2% · shrunk toward 50%18

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$49.2k Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$39.6k Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$28.8k Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? · Noclosed+$18.9k Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$12.5k

Worst markets

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$19.2k Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$14.0k Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yesclosed−$8,052 Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Noclosed−$7,698 Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesopen−$5,936

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1,981	18.2¢	37.5¢	$743	+$383	+$7.45	ended
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2,236	1.6¢	10¢	$224	+$188	$0	3mo
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2,236	1.6¢	8¢	$179	+$143	$0	3mo
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	25.0k	2.6¢	0.1¢	$25	−$623	−$375	19d 0h
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	21.8k	2.6¢	0.1¢	$22	−$544	−$667	19d 0h
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	27.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$13	−$453	−$160	3mo
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	27.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$13	−$453	−$178	3mo
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	27.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$13	−$453	−$178	3mo
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	27.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$13	−$453	−$178	3mo
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	24.3k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$12	−$409	−$233	3mo
Will Miriam Martínez Sánchez win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	2,296	2.5¢	0.5¢	$11	−$45	$0	8mo
Will Josefina Rodríguez Zamora win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	2,296	2.5¢	0.5¢	$11	−$45	$0	8mo
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	10.2k	2.6¢	0.1¢	$10	−$253	−$903	19d 0h
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	2,897	2¢	0.4¢	$10	−$48	+$42	15mo
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	2,236	1.6¢	0.5¢	$10	−$26	$0	3mo
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.6k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.29	−$552	$0	22d 0h
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.6k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.29	−$552	$0	22d 0h
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.6k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.29	−$552	$0	22d 0h
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.6k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.29	−$552	$0	22d 0h
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.6k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.29	−$552	$0	22d 0h
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.6k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.29	−$552	$0	22d 0h
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.6k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.29	−$552	$0	22d 0h
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.6k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.29	−$552	$0	22d 0h
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.6k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.29	−$552	$0	22d 0h
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.4k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.18	−$545	−$6.39	22d 0h
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.3k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.16	−$544	−$7.65	22d 0h
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.3k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.16	−$544	−$2.74	22d 0h
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.3k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.16	−$544	−$7.66	22d 0h
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	18.3k	3¢	0.1¢	$9.16	−$544	−$2.83	22d 0h
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	16.0k	3¢	0.1¢	$7.98	−$474	−$46	22d 0h
Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	4,636	1.5¢	0.2¢	$6.95	−$65	$0	13mo
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	12.8k	2.2¢	0.1¢	$6.40	−$269	$0	51d 0h
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?	Yes	4,002	1.5¢	0.2¢	$6.00	−$56	+$0.02	3mo
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	11.5k	2¢	0.1¢	$5.74	−$228	−$144	23d 0h
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	11.4k	14.7¢	0.1¢	$5.72	−$1,680	$0	27d 0h
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	11.4k	14.7¢	0.1¢	$5.69	−$1,672	−$8.55	27d 0h
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	11.2k	2.5¢	0.1¢	$5.59	−$269	−$6.32	17d 0h
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	11.2k	2.5¢	0.1¢	$5.59	−$269	−$6.61	17d 0h
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	11.2k	2.5¢	0.1¢	$5.59	−$269	−$6.61	17d 0h
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	11.2k	2.5¢	0.1¢	$5.59	−$269	−$6.61	17d 0h
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	11.2k	2.5¢	0.1¢	$5.59	−$269	−$6.61	17d 0h
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	11.2k	2.5¢	0.1¢	$5.59	−$269	−$6.61	17d 0h
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	11.2k	2.5¢	0.1¢	$5.59	−$269	−$6.61	17d 0h
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	11.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$5.52	−$185	−$8.18	18mo
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	11.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$5.52	−$185	−$8.18	18mo
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	11.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$5.52	−$185	−$8.18	18mo
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	11.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$5.51	−$185	−$7.36	18mo
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	11.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$5.51	−$185	−$8.34	18mo
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	11.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$5.51	−$185	+$22	18mo
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	11.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$5.51	−$185	+$22	18mo
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	11.0k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$5.51	−$185	−$7.36	18mo
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	10.9k	1.7¢	0.1¢	$5.46	−$183	−$9.56	18mo
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10.7k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$5.37	−$112	+$260	22d 0h
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10.7k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$5.37	−$112	−$422	3mo
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10.7k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$5.37	−$112	−$407	22d 0h
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10.7k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$5.37	−$112	−$403	22d 0h
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	10.7k	14.2¢	0.1¢	$5.34	−$1,515	−$24	21d 0h
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	10.5k	14.3¢	0.1¢	$5.26	−$1,503	−$35	21d 0h
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10.2k	1.1¢	0.1¢	$5.09	−$107	−$437	22d 0h
Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	3,036	1.9¢	0.2¢	$4.55	−$53	−$72	16d 0h
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	8,929	2.5¢	0.1¢	$4.46	−$219	−$15	17d 0h
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	8,549	2.5¢	0.1¢	$4.27	−$209	−$58	17d 0h
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	8,549	2.5¢	0.1¢	$4.27	−$209	−$58	17d 0h
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	8,549	2.5¢	0.1¢	$4.27	−$209	−$58	17d 0h
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	8,022	3.3¢	0.1¢	$4.01	−$260	−$0.58	8mo
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	7,881	3.9¢	0.1¢	$3.94	−$302	−$1.87	4mo
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	7,779	2.7¢	0.1¢	$3.89	−$203	−$140	ended
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	7,779	2.7¢	0.1¢	$3.89	−$203	−$140	ended
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	7,347	1.1¢	0.1¢	$3.67	−$77	−$247	22d 0h
Will Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	2,181	2.5¢	0.2¢	$3.27	−$50	−$2.62	8mo
Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	2,156	2.5¢	0.2¢	$3.23	−$50	−$3.16	8mo
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	6,223	2.6¢	0.1¢	$3.11	−$161	−$181	ended
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	3,059	2¢	0.1¢	$3.06	−$58	−$8.25	15mo
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	3,054	2¢	0.1¢	$3.05	−$58	−$8.36	15mo
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	3,054	2¢	0.1¢	$3.05	−$58	−$8.29	15mo
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	3,054	2¢	0.1¢	$3.05	−$58	−$7.70	15mo
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	3,054	2¢	0.1¢	$3.05	−$58	−$8.77	3mo
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	3,054	2¢	0.1¢	$3.05	−$58	−$8.41	15mo
Will Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	1,828	2.4¢	0.2¢	$2.74	−$42	−$3.04	8mo
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4,921	1.1¢	0.1¢	$2.46	−$51	+$458	3mo
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4,921	1.1¢	0.1¢	$2.46	−$51	−$453	3mo
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4,921	1.1¢	0.1¢	$2.46	−$51	−$404	3mo
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4,842	0.8¢	0.1¢	$2.42	−$35	−$18	6mo
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4,842	0.8¢	0.1¢	$2.42	−$35	−$18	6mo
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4,842	0.8¢	0.1¢	$2.42	−$35	−$18	6mo
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4,842	0.8¢	0.1¢	$2.42	−$35	−$18	6mo
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4,842	0.8¢	0.1¢	$2.42	−$35	−$12	6mo
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4,842	0.8¢	0.1¢	$2.42	−$35	−$18	6mo
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4,842	0.8¢	0.1¢	$2.42	−$35	−$18	6mo
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4,842	0.8¢	0.1¢	$2.42	−$35	−$18	6mo
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4,842	0.8¢	0.1¢	$2.42	−$35	−$18	6mo
James Collier announced as next James Bond?	Yes	4,665	1.6¢	0.1¢	$2.33	−$73	$0	3mo
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	4,636	1.5¢	0.1¢	$2.32	−$69	$0	13mo
Will Nicolás del Caño win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	4,636	1.5¢	0.1¢	$2.32	−$69	$0	13mo
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	4,475	2.2¢	0.1¢	$2.24	−$96	+$106	26d 0h
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	4,183	2.2¢	0.1¢	$2.09	−$89	+$99	26d 0h
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	4,025	14.7¢	0.1¢	$2.01	−$588	−$940	21d 0h
Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond?	Yes	4,002	1.5¢	0.1¢	$2.00	−$60	$0	3mo
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	3,979	2.1¢	0.1¢	$1.99	−$81	−$12	19d 0h
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	3,979	2.1¢	0.1¢	$1.99	−$81	−$12	19d 0h

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1h ago	BUY No	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	95.7¢	29	$28	47%	63
1h ago	BUY No	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?	97.9¢	29	$28	47%	63
1h ago	BUY No	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	99.1¢	29	$29	47%	63
1h ago	BUY No	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?	99.1¢	29	$29	47%	63
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	0.1¢	2,868	$2.87	47%	63
1h ago	BUY No	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	81¢	2,868	$2,323	47%	63
1h ago	BUY No	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	99.8¢	2,868	$2,863	47%	63
1h ago	BUY No	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	98.7¢	2,868	$2,831	47%	63
2h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	75.8¢	3	$2.41	47%	63
2h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	99.8¢	3	$3.17	47%	63
2h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	85.2¢	3	$2.71	47%	63
2h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	96¢	3	$3.05	47%	63
2h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	99.3¢	3	$3.16	47%	63
2h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	98.5¢	3	$3.13	47%	63
2h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	73.9¢	3	$2.35	47%	63
2h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	80.1¢	3	$2.55	47%	63
2h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	0.2¢	166	$0.33	47%	63
2h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	0.1¢	166	$0.17	47%	63
2h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	0.1¢	166	$0.17	47%	63
2h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	78.7¢	156	$123	47%	63