sharpside
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Traders/Rank #11,493

Echelonprt

0x516…03e5
WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$35.0kvol $1.44M
PnL 30d+$588gains $117 · losses $8.93
PnL 7d+$139win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate71.3%adj 70.5% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$14.4kcash n/a
Positions243 / 896open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$34.5kbelow peak −$57.2kOct 14

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.3% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 67

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes1,92170.2¢65.5¢$1,258−$91$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No1,37255.9¢71.5¢$981+$214$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?No1,34270.3¢65.5¢$879−$64$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No1,40056.5¢61.5¢$861+$69$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes1,06352.5¢71.5¢$760+$202$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes1,19157.9¢61.5¢$733+$43$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00065¢68.5¢$685+$35$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No1,00065¢68¢$680+$30$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No80052.5¢79.5¢$636+$216$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No92556.8¢48.5¢$449−$77$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes50079.2¢80.5¢$403+$6.50$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes74560.3¢47.5¢$354−$96$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No74465¢46¢$342−$142$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes56857.8¢59.5¢$338+$9.56$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes44668¢73¢$326+$22$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No40079.5¢80.5¢$322+$4.00$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes40056¢78.5¢$314+$90$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No50063.2¢58.5¢$293−$23$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes90043.6¢28.5¢$257−$135$0
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes82442.2¢30.5¢$251−$97$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes50065¢45.5¢$228−$98−$16
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes50034.1¢44.8¢$224+$53$0
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Yes30064¢71.5¢$215+$23$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No50040¢42.5¢$213+$13$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo20079¢91.5¢$183+$25+$3.00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No20081¢90.5¢$181+$19$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,0009¢14.7¢$147+$57$0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?No20066¢71.5¢$143+$11$0
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes17962¢76.4¢$137+$26$0
Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?No19764¢66.5¢$131+$4.92$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?Yes20064¢64.5¢$129+$1.00$0
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No15067¢86¢$129+$29$0
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No11077.9¢96.2¢$106+$20$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No10076¢93.5¢$94+$18$0
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes14549.8¢61.5¢$89+$17$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No10059¢78.5¢$79+$20$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes20053¢37.5¢$75−$31$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes10049¢73.5¢$74+$25$0
Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?Yes10059¢66.5¢$67+$7.50$0
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes6558.6¢87¢$57+$18$0
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Yes20068¢28¢$56−$80$0
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes5063.4¢92.2¢$46+$14$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No5067¢86¢$43+$9.47$0
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No5064¢85.5¢$43+$11$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No10029¢42¢$42+$13$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No5065¢75.5¢$38+$5.25$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No10054¢37.5¢$38−$17$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes5062.9¢69.9¢$35+$3.48$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No5063¢69.5¢$35+$3.25$0
Blue wave in 2026?No20021¢15.5¢$31−$11$0
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes1,0006¢2.5¢$25−$35$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes10068¢21.5¢$21−$46$0
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes50017¢4¢$20−$65$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No2073¢96.1¢$19+$4.61$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes30043.7¢5.5¢$17−$114$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?Yes2164¢76¢$16+$2.55$0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Yes5028¢28.5¢$14+$0.25$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10063¢13.5¢$14−$50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?Yes5020¢21.5¢$11+$0.75$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No10029¢9.5¢$9.50−$20$0
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No1070¢91.5¢$9.15+$2.15$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No1654¢54.5¢$8.72+$0.08$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes2044¢39.5¢$7.90−$0.90$0
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Yes589.9¢92.4¢$4.62+$0.13$0
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?No1056¢42.5¢$4.25−$1.35$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes1019¢18.5¢$1.85−$0.05$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes40057.3¢0.3¢$1.00−$228$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?74¢100$7471%40
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?54¢16$8.6471%40
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?58¢300$17471%40
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?55¢300$16571%40
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?56¢300$16871%40
BUY YesWill 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?19¢10$1.9071%40
BUY YesWill Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?62.9¢50$3171%40
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?56¢400$22471%40
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?57¢500$28571%40
BUY YesTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?28¢300$8471%40
BUY NoCNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?21¢100$2171%40
SELL NoTim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?94.1¢140$13271%40
BUY YesWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?70¢200$14071%40
BUY NoWill Trump say "Germany" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?50¢5$2.5071%40
BUY YesWill Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?64¢300$19271%40
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?66¢200$13271%40
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?60¢300$18071%40
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?45¢300$13571%40
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83¢430$35771%40
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?64¢197$12671%40