sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,809

0x51d…9e4a

0x51d…9e4a
PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,061vol $596k
PnL 30d−$906gains $332 · losses $1,511
PnL 7d+$1,270win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate40.0%adj 41.1% · 30d 23.5%
Open value$8,294cash n/a
Positions112 / 267open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,053below peak −$21.0kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 40.0% · shrunk toward 50%3
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes10.8k30.2¢28.5¢$3,070−$183−$275
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No6,88453.9¢29.5¢$2,031−$1,681−$175
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes10.2k29.8¢7¢$712−$2,317−$689
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes50770.5¢77¢$390+$33−$131
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No9,39720.5¢4¢$376−$1,549−$481
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes1,29417.8¢26.5¢$343+$113−$4.00
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Yes1,68232.4¢16¢$269−$276+$4.75
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Yes10.0k10.7¢2.5¢$251−$819−$327
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes2,00033¢10.5¢$210−$450+$20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes2,01446.1¢9.5¢$191−$738−$14
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes20333.6¢90¢$183+$115−$251
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31?Yes83411.1¢11.5¢$96+$3.61$0
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes12851.8¢37¢$47−$19−$0.59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No20040¢18.5¢$37−$43$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes29019¢11¢$32−$23−$384
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes1,8886.6¢0.7¢$12−$112$0
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Yes1254.1¢6.6¢$8.21+$3.07$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes6487.6¢1.3¢$8.11−$41$0
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?Yes3920.5¢20¢$7.82−$0.20−$8.77
US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes4044¢15.5¢$6.20−$11$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Yes4523.7¢8.5¢$3.81−$6.81−$6.34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No12020¢2.8¢$3.30−$21$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Yes1,2841.6¢0.2¢$2.57−$17$0
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes1,1326.6¢0.2¢$1.70−$73−$25
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes2,0757.1¢0.1¢$1.04−$146$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?4.1¢125$5.1440%40
BUY YesWill the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31?12¢445$5340%40
SELL YesWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?85.6¢203$17440%40
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?67¢44$3040%40
SELL YesWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?4.3¢318$1440%40
BUY YesWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?76¢100$7640%40
BUY YesWill the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31?10¢389$3940%40
SELL YesWill China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?62.3¢146$9140%40
SELL YesWill China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?67.7¢152$10340%40
SELL YesWill China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?73.6¢105$7740%40
BUY YesWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?73¢37$2740%40
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?20¢120$2440%40
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?65¢44$2940%40
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?40¢200$8040%40
BUY YesWill Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?13¢0$0.0640%40
BUY YesWill Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?13¢23$3.0040%40
BUY NoWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?25¢168$4240%40
SELL YesWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?48.3¢218$10540%40
SELL YesWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?50.2¢219$11040%40
BUY YesWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?68¢250$17040%40