sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,422

TimeTraveler

0x51f…4272
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$137kvol $133M
PnL 30d+$16.0kgains $34.1k · losses $7,711
PnL 7d−$828win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate86.1%adj 84.7% · 30d 87.1%
Open value$125kcash n/a
Positions2,000 / 7,249open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.8%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$160kbelow peak −$3,838Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 86.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes34.1k4.4¢24.3¢$8,280+$6,789+$3,168
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No15.0k48.3¢46.7¢$6,998−$242+$748
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes13.6k7.9¢41.6¢$5,648+$4,579+$31
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes19.4k4.6¢22.9¢$4,446+$3,545+$1,348
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes6,68113.1¢44.5¢$2,973+$2,100−$64
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?Yes30.9k2.3¢7¢$2,145+$1,433+$190
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No3,20045.4¢65.5¢$2,096+$643$0
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No4,22343.1¢49¢$2,069+$248$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4,60014.8¢39.4¢$1,810+$1,128+$431
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes26.7k2.6¢5.9¢$1,589+$901+$12
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,59372.7¢93.3¢$1,486+$328$0
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes165k0.7¢0.9¢$1,402+$325+$6.42
Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks1,25033.5¢100¢$1,250+$831−$1.11
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes31.1k2.5¢3.7¢$1,135+$359+$25
Will Willem II be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?No3,46545.1¢31.5¢$1,092−$473$0
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?Yes1,01331.3¢100¢$1,013+$696+$341
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes1,0009.4¢100¢$1,000+$906+$800
Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?No1,82747.9¢50.5¢$923+$48$0
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes18.5k1.6¢5¢$917+$620+$194
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes94719.6¢95.4¢$903+$718+$76
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Yes30.9k1.5¢2.9¢$881+$417+$4,482
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes68.9k0.5¢1.3¢$861+$486+$19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes5,23527.9¢15.5¢$811−$649$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes34.1k4.8¢2.4¢$801−$820+$70
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes32.1k3.6¢2.5¢$787−$365+$128
Will LSU Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No1,49949.5¢52.5¢$787+$45$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?No3,91618.8¢19.5¢$764+$28$0
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes23.1k3.3¢3.1¢$703−$65−$4.25
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No91474.4¢73.6¢$672−$7.93$0
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes1,04814.4¢64¢$670+$519$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No71071¢93.5¢$664+$160$0
Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No1,20924.6¢53¢$641+$343+$301
Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?No1,45044.8¢42.5¢$616−$33$0
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes13.9k2.6¢4.4¢$614+$247$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes70065.2¢85.9¢$601+$144$0
Will Italy win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?No66858.3¢88.5¢$591+$202$0
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes20.4k3.5¢2.9¢$580−$138+$82
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes54.7k2.6¢1.1¢$575−$848$0
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes8,5114.5¢6.8¢$574+$192$0
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes11.2k2.6¢5.1¢$574+$279$0
Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs55049.7¢100¢$550+$277−$2.62
Will Oklahoma Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No56666.1¢96.7¢$547+$173+$43
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes22.9k2.4¢2.4¢$537−$12$0
Will USC Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Yes3,60539.9¢14.5¢$523−$915$0
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes115k0.1¢0.5¢$519+$389+$490
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes19.2k1.8¢2.7¢$519+$173$0
Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?Yes90032.3¢56¢$504+$213$0
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?No50061.8¢100¢$500+$191$0
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes26.3k1.5¢1.9¢$487+$99$0
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes88.4k1.1¢0.5¢$486−$485+$6.52
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes194k0.3¢0.3¢$485−$192$0
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Yamal59168.5¢82¢$485+$80$0
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes28.8k2.1¢1.7¢$475−$126$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes135k1¢0.4¢$474−$928+$589
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes14.6k2¢3.2¢$460+$170$0
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes52584.3¢87.5¢$459+$17$0
Will Ohio St. Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Yes53880.9¢82.5¢$444+$8.72$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes57.7k0.8¢0.8¢$433−$22+$1,238
Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes1,40544.7¢30.5¢$429−$199$0
Will SMU Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?No46680.8¢92¢$428+$52$0
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes44.0k1¢1¢$418−$1.71$0
Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes11.4k3¢3.6¢$412+$64$0
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes6,1062.9¢6.7¢$406+$228$0
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No41185.4¢98.2¢$404+$52$0
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes12.0k2.9¢3.4¢$403+$49+$252
Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No1,14536.2¢35¢$401−$14$0
Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?No50064¢80¢$400+$80+$40
Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights4008¢100¢$400+$368−$0.88
Will Utah Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Yes84830¢46.5¢$394+$140$0
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?Yes1,50831.5¢26¢$392−$83$0
Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes16.5k2.2¢2.3¢$380+$18+$0.48
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?Yes1,17415.7¢31.5¢$370+$185$0
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No2,04624.1¢18¢$368−$125$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No60059.5¢60.7¢$364+$6.80+$101
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes15.9k0.5¢2.2¢$349+$271+$201
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes2,74811.4¢12.5¢$344+$29$0
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes5,8021.8¢5.9¢$342+$236$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes80033.2¢42.5¢$340+$74$0
Will Rutgers have more than 2.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes73948.9¢46¢$340−$21$0
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No33630.6¢100¢$336+$233+$646
Will Colorado have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes73552.9¢45.5¢$334−$54$0
Will Texas Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Yes39366.5¢84¢$330+$69$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes43.7k1¢0.8¢$327−$89+$59
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No35236.7¢93¢$327+$198$0
Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No45147.1¢72.5¢$327+$114$0
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes3,41911¢9.5¢$325−$50+$16
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?Yes1,06424.5¢30.5¢$324+$64$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2,5009.8¢12.5¢$313+$68+$18
Will SC Cambuur be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?No74343.4¢41.5¢$308−$14$0
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes32.3k1¢1¢$307−$7.80$0
Will PEC Zwolle be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?Yes1,00029.8¢30.5¢$305+$7.00$0
Will Oregon Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Yes58368¢52¢$303−$93$0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes43949.6¢68.5¢$301+$83$0
Knicks vs. SpursKnicks30040.3¢100¢$300+$179$0
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes30010¢100¢$300+$270$0
Will Chelsea qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No95728.7¢31¢$297+$22$0
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes84.5k0.3¢0.4¢$296+$22$0
Will Alabama Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Yes46146.5¢63.5¢$293+$78$0
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes116k0.1¢0.3¢$290+$125$0
Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Yamal76046.1¢38¢$289−$62$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?12¢200$2486%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?12¢200$2486%81Sharp
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres6¢100$6.0086%81Sharp
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres6¢100$6.0086%81Sharp
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres6¢100$6.0086%81Sharp
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres17¢100$1786%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?7¢15$1.0586%81Sharp
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres19¢100$1986%81Sharp
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres35¢100$3586%81Sharp
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres34¢100$3486%81Sharp
BUY Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries23¢100$2386%81Sharp
BUY Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries9¢100$9.0086%81Sharp
BUY Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries15¢100$1586%81Sharp
BUY Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries15¢100$1586%81Sharp
BUY Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries15¢100$1586%81Sharp
BUY Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries18¢100$1886%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?3.5¢676$2486%81Sharp
BUY Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries24¢100$2486%81Sharp
BUY Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries24¢100$2486%81Sharp
BUY New York LibertyNew York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream11¢100$1186%81Sharp