PnL all-time−$10.1kvol $242k
PnL 30d+$2,106gains $210 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$195win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate65.0%adj 57.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$49.2kcash n/a
Positions12 / 32open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$11.5kbelow peak −$17.8kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
14/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 65.0% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Noopen−$10.9kFed rate hike in 2026? · Noopen−$9,044Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$4,554Will XRP dip to $1.90 in December? · Noclosed−$1,398Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$1,390
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 15.4k | 63.6¢ | 87.5¢ | $13.4k | +$3,678 | +$131 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 7,528 | 83.6¢ | 97¢ | $7,299 | +$1,006 | +$476 | |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 8,459 | 60.3¢ | 85.5¢ | $7,232 | +$2,133 | +$36 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 6,126 | 76.8¢ | 95¢ | $5,819 | +$1,115 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 19.5k | 83.6¢ | 27.8¢ | $5,418 | −$10.9k | +$3.36 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 3,362 | 78.9¢ | 96.9¢ | $3,256 | +$603 | +$269 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 3,371 | 68.6¢ | 74¢ | $2,495 | +$183 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 3,050 | 69.8¢ | 77.5¢ | $2,364 | +$234 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1,427 | 82.5¢ | 97.5¢ | $1,391 | +$213 | +$70 | |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 81¢ | 92.5¢ | $462 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 17.3k | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,828 | −$216 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9,497 | 47.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,554 | $0 |
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