PnL all-time+$192vol $7,125
PnL 30d+$130gains $112 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$17win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 56.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$2,779cash n/a
Positions8 / 11open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$292below peak −$40Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale33
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable35
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$104Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed+$80Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Noopen+$45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$37Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Noopen+$17
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | No | 2,318 | 32.4¢ | 32.5¢ | $753 | +$3.21 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 814 | 86¢ | 90.5¢ | $737 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 426 | 93.9¢ | 98¢ | $417 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | No | 496 | 60.5¢ | 69.5¢ | $345 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? | No | 331 | 60.3¢ | 61.5¢ | $204 | +$3.87 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | No | 149 | 67.2¢ | 77.5¢ | $115 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 131 | 76.3¢ | 83.5¢ | $109 | +$9.45 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | No | 200 | 50¢ | 49.5¢ | $99 | −$1.00 | $0 |
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