sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

ponczyk

0x535…96ba@ponczek88875792
1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$71.3kvol $8.52M
PnL 30d−$6,237gains $90 · losses $7,031
PnL 7d−$10win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate59.9%adj 59.2% · 30d 9.1%
Open value$30.5kcash n/a
Positions25 / 308open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$61.1kbelow peak −$70.3kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 59.9% · shrunk toward 50%48
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d84
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider · Elena Rybakinaclosed+$10.3kMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka · Aryna Sabalenkaclosed+$3,429Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev · Alexander Zverevclosed+$2,91076ers vs. Spurs · Spursclosed+$2,889Netanyahu out by March 31? · Noclosed+$2,483

Worst markets

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez · Elena Rybakinaclosed−$21.9kRoland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang · Hailey Baptisteclosed−$17.7kLoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 · KT Rolsterclosed−$16.9kTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Raysclosed−$13.2kPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertens · Elise Mertensclosed−$9,084

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No2,20097.1¢97¢$2,133−$3.30−$6.29
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No2,20092¢95.5¢$2,101+$77$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2,15095.9¢95.6¢$2,054−$6.97−$94
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No2,10096¢96.2¢$2,019+$3.15$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,10096.5¢95.9¢$2,013−$14$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?No2,10095.7¢94.7¢$1,989−$22$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,40085¢82.5¢$1,980−$60−$36
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1,10097.5¢97.8¢$1,075+$2.75$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No1,10097.9¢97.8¢$1,075−$1.65$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No1,10097.1¢97¢$1,066−$1.65$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,10096.5¢96.4¢$1,060−$1.65$0
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?No1,12696.3¢94.1¢$1,060−$25$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,10095.5¢96.2¢$1,058+$7.70$0
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?No1,10095.2¢95.5¢$1,051+$3.75$0
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?No1,10096.1¢94.9¢$1,043−$14$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,10094¢94.5¢$1,040+$5.50−$16
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No1,08294.3¢95.5¢$1,033+$13$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No1,07995.9¢95.5¢$1,031−$4.42$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No1,05097.5¢97.2¢$1,020−$3.67+$159
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1,03097.5¢97.2¢$1,001−$3.60+$120
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,10093¢90.5¢$996−$28$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No60097.6¢98.3¢$590+$3.94$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No61096.3¢96.2¢$587−$0.59$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No32797.3¢97.7¢$319+$1.31$0
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No13997.4¢97¢$134−$0.62$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?97.3¢327$31860%33
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?94.3¢1,082$1,02060%33
SELL NoMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?94¢1,100$1,03460%33
BUY NoWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?97.4¢139$13560%33
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?96.5¢1,100$1,06260%33
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?97.9¢1,100$1,07760%33
BUY NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?97.1¢1,100$1,06860%33
BUY YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?95.9¢1,100$1,05560%33
BUY NoWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?97.6¢600$58660%33
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?96.3¢610$58860%33
BUY NoMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?95¢1,100$1,04560%33
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?96.3¢1,126$1,08460%33
BUY NoChina x Japan military clash before 2027?96¢2,100$2,01660%33
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢2,400$2,04060%33
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?92¢2,200$2,02460%33
BUY NoWill Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?95.2¢1,100$1,04760%33
BUY NoWill Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?96.1¢1,100$1,05760%33
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?95.7¢2,100$2,01160%33
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?96¢982$94360%33
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?95¢97$9260%33