sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,453

doesntlisten

0x579…69f9
WR 60+PoliticsCultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$123vol $30.9k
PnL 30d+$17gains $30 · losses $18
PnL 7d+$21win rate 7d 36.8%
Win rate62.0%adj 61.6% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$212cash n/a
Positions52 / 910open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.4%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$173below peak −$1.50Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale30
Adjusted win rateraw 62.0% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes12297.5¢95.6¢$117−$2.31$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes2611.2¢32.6¢$8.39+$5.51+$1.24
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes828.3¢76.5¢$6.44+$4.06$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?No734¢81¢$5.67+$3.29$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes639¢79.5¢$4.73+$2.41$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No388¢96.2¢$2.70+$0.23$0
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No460¢67.5¢$2.63+$0.29$0
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?No385¢92¢$2.57+$0.20$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes338¢81¢$2.54+$1.35$0
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No367¢71.5¢$2.50+$0.16$0
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?No381¢85.6¢$2.49+$0.13$0
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No391.5¢95.5¢$2.48+$0.10$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No389¢92.5¢$2.47+$0.09$0
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?No296¢99.6¢$2.47+$0.09$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?No394.5¢96.9¢$2.44+$0.06$0
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?No395¢96.7¢$2.42+$0.04$0
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Jiri Prochazka next?No393.4¢92.3¢$2.34−$0.03$0
Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?No372.9¢72¢$2.33−$0.03$0
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?Yes392.1¢85.5¢$2.21−$0.17$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No551¢46.5¢$2.12−$0.20$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No382.9¢69.7¢$1.98−$0.38$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes734¢28¢$1.91−$0.41$0
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No266¢98.3¢$1.74+$0.57$0
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?Yes253¢78¢$1.71+$0.55$0
Will Possible Love win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes376.2¢4.4¢$1.62−$0.66$0
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?No267¢83¢$1.46+$0.28$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes247¢53.5¢$1.32+$0.16$0
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No184.9¢93.7¢$1.30+$0.12$0
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?No192.4¢99.6¢$1.28+$0.09$0
Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No194¢99.3¢$1.26+$0.07$0
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?No194¢97.4¢$1.23+$0.04$0
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Khamzat Chimaev next?No185¢88.8¢$1.23+$0.05$0
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?No194¢96.7¢$1.22+$0.03$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No184¢86.2¢$1.21+$0.03$0
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?No191.4¢92.7¢$1.21+$0.02$0
Theo James announced as next James Bond?No198.8¢99.8¢$1.20+$0.01$0
Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No194¢93.5¢$1.18−$0.01$0
Next James Bond announced by March 31, 2027?Yes192¢90.5¢$1.17−$0.02$0
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No189¢83¢$1.11−$0.08$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes826¢13.9¢$1.08−$0.94−$0.11
No one announced as next James Bond?No180.4¢75.8¢$1.07−$0.07−$0.11
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No188¢78.5¢$1.06−$0.13$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?65¢2$1.1762%67
BUY YesWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?65¢2$1.1762%67
BUY NoKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?91.4¢1$1.1962%67
BUY NoLula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?36.4¢3$1.1662%67
BUY NoWill Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?94¢1$1.1962%67
BUY YesWill the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?97.5¢18$1862%67
BUY YesWill the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?97.5¢104$10162%67
SELL NoWill Trump say "Ammunition" this week?99.1¢102$10162%67
BUY NoWill Trump say "Ammunition" this week?99.2¢102$10162%67
BUY Kia TigersKBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers98.9¢152$15062%67
BUY YesNext James Bond announced by March 31, 2027?92¢1$1.1962%67
BUY YesGrok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?90¢56$5062%67
BUY YesChatGPT Outage by October 31, 2026?99.2¢15$1562%67
BUY YesChatGPT Outage by October 15, 2026?99¢30$3062%67
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢0$0.0162%67
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢0$0.0762%67
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢0$0.0462%67
BUY YesWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1.9¢60$1.1462%67
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?67¢2$1.1762%67
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?66¢2$1.1762%67