sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,138

Anon5566

0x5a5…adab
WhaleWR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$52.2kvol $2.13M
PnL 30d−$6,101gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2,064win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate65.8%adj 64.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$103kcash n/a
Positions35 / 337open / all-time
Max drawdown−52.6%of equity peak
Account age2.7ylast trade 21m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$40.5kbelow peak −$15.7kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 65.8% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity47

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 35

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes95.5k42¢48.4¢$46.3k+$6,127$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No35.5k84.5¢95.7¢$34.0k+$3,967+$588
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No8,42647.7¢83.5¢$7,036+$3,020−$45
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No3,43083.6¢95.5¢$3,276+$409+$3.41
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes21.1k18.2¢14.9¢$3,137−$713$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No1,64172.9¢87.5¢$1,436+$239$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1,36187.7¢96.5¢$1,312+$119$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo2,80049.7¢37.5¢$1,050−$342$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No1,05992.4¢96.3¢$1,020+$42$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No94074.2¢79¢$742+$46$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,53822¢19.7¢$695−$83$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,88558¢36.5¢$688−$406$0
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No47185.4¢95.5¢$450+$48$0
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?No43688.8¢96.5¢$421+$34$0
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes10.0k10¢4.2¢$420−$580$0
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes63927.1¢29.5¢$188+$15$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No15482¢97¢$149+$23$0
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?Yes3,2667.9¢2.8¢$90−$169$0
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?No8259.8¢89¢$73+$24$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No11052¢38.5¢$42−$15$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No2083¢97.8¢$19+$2.93$0
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes68927.6¢2.6¢$18−$173−$398
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes12513¢10.5¢$13−$3.12$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No1086¢97.8¢$9.78+$1.18$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes23.5k22.2¢0¢$0−$5,214−$175
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes8,80611.8¢0¢$0−$1,037$0
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?No3,58463.9¢0¢$0−$2,291$0
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?No1,96462.4¢0¢$0−$1,225−$3.15
England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceDR Congo40025¢0¢$0−$100−$2.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes30333¢0¢$0−$100−$2.01
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?No10023¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9938.6¢0¢$0−$38−$1.18
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?Yes836¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceJapan6929¢0¢$0−$20−$0.43
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No758¢0¢$0−$4.06−$0.09

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?95.8¢1,786$1,71166%44
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?95.7¢903$86566%44
BUY NoWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?81¢355$28866%44
BUY NoWill Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?91.4¢85$7866%44
BUY NoWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?86.9¢212$18466%44
BUY NoMike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?94¢500$47066%44
BUY NoMike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?89.5¢41$3766%44
BUY NoMike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?88¢6$4.9466%44
SELL YesTim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?2.4¢689$1766%44
SELL YesTim Walz in jail by December 31?0.4¢3,266$1466%44
BUY NoWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?79.1¢18$1466%44
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?12¢8,498$1,02066%44
SELL NoTrump out as President before 2027?94¢1,099$1,03366%44
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?18¢8,851$1,59366%44
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?18¢2,100$37866%44
SELL NoTrump out as President before 2027?94¢2,000$1,88066%44
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?18¢200$3666%44
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?46¢380$17566%44
BUY NoWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?52¢110$5766%44
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?58¢1,080$62666%44