sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,895

0x5b9…2709

0x5b9…2709
SharpWhalePnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+OtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$48.6kvol $2.43M
PnL 30d+$4,130gains $6,857 · losses $15.9k
PnL 7d+$4,025win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate76.2%adj 75.1% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$96.8kcash n/a
Positions62 / 1,080open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$56.4kbelow peak −$10.9kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 76.2% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 62

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No25.0k50¢89.8¢$22.4k+$9,950$0
US recession by end of 2026?No22.0k85.4¢93.5¢$20.6k+$1,790+$109
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes10,00059.4¢84.5¢$8,450+$2,510$0
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes6,00060.1¢70¢$4,200+$592$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes4,50087.1¢90.5¢$4,072+$153$0
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?No4,00086¢87.5¢$3,500+$60$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No4,00075.7¢84.5¢$3,380+$353+$6.49
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?No3,08090.5¢98.6¢$3,035+$248$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes25.0k50¢10.2¢$2,550−$9,950$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No2,00083.7¢95.5¢$1,910+$236$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,00082.5¢84.5¢$1,690+$40+$57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes2,54954.9¢64.5¢$1,644+$244$0
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No2,00077.6¢81.3¢$1,625+$73$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No1,60085.9¢94.5¢$1,512+$138−$1,040
Revolut IPO before 2027?No1,34890.9¢97.8¢$1,318+$93$0
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No1,36875.5¢73.5¢$1,006−$28$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No1,00077.4¢97.1¢$971+$197$0
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?No1,18471.8¢81.5¢$965+$115+$70
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?Yes98687.1¢95.5¢$942+$83$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00049¢92.5¢$925+$435$0
Brex IPO before 2027?No89796.2¢99.2¢$890+$27+$19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes1,00063.4¢75.5¢$755+$121+$1,463
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No77378.4¢87.5¢$677+$71$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No60082.2¢97.7¢$586+$93$0
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?No55086.8¢95.5¢$525+$48$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No50094.2¢98.9¢$495+$24$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes50060.2¢95.5¢$477+$176+$24
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes54076.8¢79.5¢$429+$15+$29
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes50078¢80.5¢$403+$13$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No40081.6¢97¢$388+$61$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No50019¢73.5¢$368+$273$0
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No36090.6¢98.2¢$353+$27$0
Canva IPO before 2027?No35877.5¢97.6¢$349+$72+$51
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes28992¢95.6¢$276+$10$0
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes2,19478.4¢12.5¢$274−$1,445$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes40070¢68.5¢$274−$6.00$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No30037.1¢90¢$270+$159$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No25086¢88.5¢$221+$6.25$0
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?Yes22452.5¢91.5¢$205+$87+$91
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No20086.9¢97.2¢$194+$21$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No20081¢95¢$190+$28$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes71833¢26¢$187−$50$0
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes1,75532.7¢8.1¢$141−$433$0
Will BP be acquired before 2027?No12666¢96.6¢$122+$39$0
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?No20134.5¢53.5¢$107+$38$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?No20053.5¢51.1¢$102−$4.80$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No10090.4¢98.2¢$98+$7.80$0
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No10095.6¢97.9¢$98+$2.25$0
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No10092.1¢97.6¢$98+$5.45$0
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?No10089.2¢96.9¢$97+$7.65$0
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?Yes9390¢94.7¢$88+$4.37$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes2,5104.2¢2.3¢$58−$47$0
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No5092¢98¢$49+$2.98$0
Stripe IPO before 2027?No5090¢97.6¢$49+$3.77$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No20018¢22.5¢$45+$9.00$0
Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?Yes6543¢66.5¢$43+$15$0
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No5182¢84.5¢$43+$1.27$0
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?No4383¢97.2¢$41+$6.06$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes3207.4¢2.9¢$9.12−$14$0
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No883¢90¢$7.03+$0.55$0
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?Anthropic638¢48¢$2.69+$0.56$0
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?No3526¢1.9¢$0.66−$8.43$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?75.9¢572$43476%76Sharp
BUY NoWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?83¢8$6.4876%76Sharp
SELL YesWill PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?82¢660$54176%76Sharp
SELL NoWill PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?80¢110$8876%76Sharp
BUY YesWill PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?76¢199$15176%76Sharp
BUY YesWill PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?77¢170$13176%76Sharp
BUY YesWill PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?77¢259$19976%76Sharp
BUY YesWill PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?77¢259$19976%76Sharp
BUY YesWill PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?77¢259$19976%76Sharp
SELL NoPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?69¢210$14576%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?77.9¢100$7876%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?77.7¢149$11676%76Sharp
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.4¢20$2076%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?18¢200$3676%76Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?55.9¢1,670$93476%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?79¢195$15476%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?78¢278$21776%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?36¢150$5476%76Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?53¢75$4076%76Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?53¢500$26576%76Sharp