sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,670

forinnerpsandr1x11222

0x5c1…cc49
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$84.1kvol $3.58M
PnL 30d+$68.5kgains $78.1k · losses $1,003
PnL 7d+$1,570win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate86.3%adj 83.9% · 30d 81.3%
Open value$596kcash n/a
Positions29 / 319open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.5%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$174kbelow peak −$671Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

80/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 86.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No173k50¢92¢$159k+$72.4k$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No65.5k84.2¢95.5¢$62.6k+$7,418$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No59.9k91.6¢99.8¢$59.8k+$4,891$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No61.0k51.6¢96.8¢$59.0k+$27.6k−$930
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No58.2k52.6¢97.4¢$56.6k+$26.0k−$2,140
Plague pandemic in 2026?No35.4k95.9¢96¢$34.0k+$29$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No29.2k89.5¢97¢$28.3k+$2,187$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No29.1k86¢96.7¢$28.1k+$3,110$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No23.8k91.2¢98.2¢$23.3k+$1,668+$255
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?No21.7k89.7¢92.5¢$20.1k+$609$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes173k50¢8.1¢$13.9k−$72.4k$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes26.8k22.2¢43.5¢$11.6k+$5,708$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No10.0k82.9¢84.5¢$8,450+$160$0
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No7,06378.1¢93.5¢$6,604+$1,085$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No6,59476.6¢81¢$5,341+$290$0
New pandemic in 2026?No4,90294¢94.5¢$4,632+$25$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No5,00065¢90.5¢$4,525+$1,275$0
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No3,57485.4¢96¢$3,431+$380$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No2,88087¢94.5¢$2,722+$216$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No2,81994.6¢95.3¢$2,687+$19$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No1,10888¢90.5¢$1,002+$28$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No32874.4¢95¢$311+$68$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No26586¢99¢$263+$34$0
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes20.0k1.2¢0.1¢$9.99−$227$0
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes17.9k1.2¢0.1¢$8.93−$202−$23
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes15.3k1.2¢0.1¢$7.65−$173−$51
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No594.4¢96.3¢$4.81+$0.09$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No42.4k94.9¢0¢$0−$40.2k$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No5,69179¢0¢$0−$4,496$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?92¢680$62686%80Sharp
BUY NoRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?90.5¢3,465$3,13586%80Sharp
BUY NoPlague pandemic in 2026?96¢7,787$7,47386%80Sharp
BUY NoNew pandemic in 2026?94¢4,902$4,60886%80Sharp
BUY NoPlague pandemic in 2026?96.6¢457$44186%80Sharp
BUY NoPlague pandemic in 2026?96.7¢11.6k$11.2k86%80WhaleSharp
BUY NoRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?90¢60$5486%80Sharp
BUY NoRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?88.7¢7,471$6,62786%80Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?99.9¢250$24986%80Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?99.9¢57$5786%80Sharp
BUY YesWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?99.9¢125$12586%80Sharp
BUY YesWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?99.9¢1,262$1,26086%80Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?99.4¢824$81986%80Sharp
BUY YesWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?99.7¢277$27686%80Sharp
BUY YesWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?99.6¢1,359$1,35386%80Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?99.9¢1,548$1,54686%80Sharp
BUY YesRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?99.5¢410$40886%80Sharp
BUY YesRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?99.4¢167$16686%80Sharp
BUY YesRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?99.3¢409$40686%80Sharp
BUY YesRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?98.7¢1,047$1,03386%80Sharp