| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 23.0k | 27.3¢ | 24.5¢ | $5,634 | −$634 | +$60 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 12.6k | 43.4¢ | 38.5¢ | $4,858 | −$618 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 4,568 | 89.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,317 | +$230 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,179 | 59.6¢ | 65.5¢ | $4,047 | +$364 | −$14 | |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 3,418 | 84.9¢ | 91¢ | $3,110 | +$208 | −$433 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10,000 | 30¢ | 28.5¢ | $2,850 | −$147 | +$147 | |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 2,038 | 90.1¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,844 | +$7.61 | −$1,130 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1,726 | 90.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,458 | −$99 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,098 | 40.3¢ | 44.8¢ | $939 | +$93 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1,884 | 47.2¢ | 47.8¢ | $901 | +$12 | −$10.00 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 4,691 | 18.7¢ | 16.5¢ | $774 | −$104 | +$780 | |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 802 | 93.2¢ | 92.7¢ | $743 | −$4.39 | $0 | |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 695 | 90.5¢ | 93.4¢ | $649 | +$20 | −$8.38 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 10.9k | 3.4¢ | 4.7¢ | $506 | +$137 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 892 | 41.6¢ | 54.1¢ | $482 | +$111 | +$2.08 | |
| Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 655 | 67.3¢ | 73.5¢ | $481 | +$40 | −$2.81 | |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 870 | 55.6¢ | 55¢ | $479 | −$4.91 | $0 | |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 576 | 75.9¢ | 77.6¢ | $447 | +$10 | −$119 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3,162 | 19.8¢ | 13.5¢ | $427 | −$201 | +$124 | |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1,071 | 9.3¢ | 34.7¢ | $372 | +$272 | +$30 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 4,301 | 11.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $366 | −$131 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 13.3k | 4.8¢ | 2.7¢ | $353 | −$289 | $0 | |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? | No | 360 | 80¢ | 87.3¢ | $314 | +$26 | −$377 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 1,036 | 34.2¢ | 28.5¢ | $295 | −$59 | +$142 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 1,500 | 24.2¢ | 18.5¢ | $278 | −$85 | $0 | |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1,011 | 19.4¢ | 27¢ | $273 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8,383 | 3.2¢ | 3.3¢ | $272 | +$4.49 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | No | 1,912 | 12.6¢ | 13.5¢ | $258 | +$18 | +$110 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1,801 | 13.8¢ | 14¢ | $252 | +$2.90 | +$148 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,652 | 16.4¢ | 13.9¢ | $230 | −$41 | +$43 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,670 | 7¢ | 12.4¢ | $207 | +$90 | +$134 | |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 233 | 85.7¢ | 86.5¢ | $202 | +$1.82 | −$54 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 7,886 | 2.8¢ | 2.6¢ | $201 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 230 | 86.9¢ | 86.9¢ | $200 | −$0.11 | $0 | |
| GTA VI released by November 30? | No | 4,177 | 4.9¢ | 4.2¢ | $175 | −$28 | +$21 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 1,078 | 18.4¢ | 16.2¢ | $174 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1,109 | 9.6¢ | 13¢ | $144 | +$37 | +$4.12 | |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1,844 | 6.3¢ | 7¢ | $128 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? | No | 128 | 87.4¢ | 89.6¢ | $115 | +$2.75 | −$37 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,388 | 7.9¢ | 7.9¢ | $109 | −$1.13 | +$37 | |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 100 | 98.7¢ | 98.7¢ | $99 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 111 | 53.9¢ | 86¢ | $95 | +$36 | −$39 | |
| Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access? | No | 212 | 35.7¢ | 39.5¢ | $84 | +$8.08 | −$1.01 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 742 | 8.5¢ | 11¢ | $81 | +$18 | +$57 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 825 | 16.2¢ | 9.5¢ | $78 | −$56 | +$130 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 680 | 16¢ | 11.5¢ | $78 | −$31 | +$1,254 | |
| Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 126 | 56.1¢ | 57¢ | $72 | +$1.07 | −$5.65 | |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 67 | 90¢ | 93.8¢ | $63 | +$2.55 | $0 | |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 224 | 30.8¢ | 27.5¢ | $62 | −$7.38 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 216 | 27.5¢ | 28.5¢ | $62 | +$2.06 | +$399 | |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,099 | 6.1¢ | 5.5¢ | $60 | −$6.36 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,760 | 5¢ | 3.4¢ | $60 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 66 | 88¢ | 88.5¢ | $58 | +$0.33 | −$135 | |
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 479 | 7.7¢ | 12¢ | $58 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 167 | 35.8¢ | 34.5¢ | $58 | −$2.23 | +$124 | |
| Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 49 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $48 | +$2.45 | −$19 | |
| Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 649 | 7.2¢ | 7.2¢ | $47 | +$0.19 | −$0.12 | |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | No | 49 | 87.4¢ | 93.4¢ | $46 | +$2.91 | −$218 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 827 | 4.8¢ | 5.3¢ | $44 | +$4.11 | +$107 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 200 | 17¢ | 21.5¢ | $43 | +$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 652 | 7.2¢ | 5.8¢ | $38 | −$8.97 | +$23 | |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 113 | 27¢ | 32.5¢ | $37 | +$6.27 | +$3.39 | |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 227 | 15.7¢ | 16¢ | $36 | +$0.75 | +$39 | |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 64 | 46¢ | 54.5¢ | $35 | +$5.44 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | 8.3¢ | 6.6¢ | $33 | −$8.51 | +$4.14 | |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 491 | 5.8¢ | 6.5¢ | $32 | +$3.17 | $0 | |
| Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 64 | 44¢ | 46¢ | $29 | +$1.26 | +$0.95 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 184 | 16.9¢ | 14.7¢ | $27 | −$4.13 | $0 | |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | Yes | 596 | 5.3¢ | 4.5¢ | $27 | −$4.90 | +$132 | |
| Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 30 | 84¢ | 86¢ | $26 | +$0.60 | −$40 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 111 | 19.4¢ | 20.5¢ | $23 | +$1.24 | +$326 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 25 | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $23 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 146 | 13.9¢ | 14.5¢ | $21 | +$0.86 | +$81 | |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 26 | 80.9¢ | 81¢ | $21 | +$0.04 | −$16 | |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 196 | 10.1¢ | 10.5¢ | $20 | +$0.76 | +$38 | |
| Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 260 | 6.7¢ | 7.6¢ | $20 | +$2.33 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 20 | 90.3¢ | 97.9¢ | $20 | +$1.52 | $0 | |
| Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 103 | 18.3¢ | 19¢ | $20 | +$0.69 | +$49 | |
| Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 20 | 91¢ | 97.2¢ | $19 | +$1.23 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 335 | 6.4¢ | 5.5¢ | $18 | −$2.96 | +$51 | |
| Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 166 | 13.9¢ | 10.5¢ | $17 | −$5.59 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 33 | 49.8¢ | 51.5¢ | $17 | +$0.56 | $0 | |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 17 | 89¢ | 95.8¢ | $16 | +$1.16 | −$42 | |
| Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 24 | 59¢ | 64¢ | $15 | +$1.20 | −$0.84 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 151 | 11.4¢ | 9.8¢ | $15 | −$2.48 | $0 | |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 399 | 6.8¢ | 3.6¢ | $14 | −$13 | −$0.86 | |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 225 | 5.5¢ | 6¢ | $14 | +$1.10 | +$73 | |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 342 | 5.4¢ | 3.9¢ | $13 | −$5.01 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 25 | 53.1¢ | 52.2¢ | $13 | −$0.23 | −$7.39 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 15 | 87¢ | 86¢ | $13 | −$0.15 | −$152 | |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 480 | 2.6¢ | 2.5¢ | $12 | −$0.48 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 12 | 88.7¢ | 89.6¢ | $11 | +$0.10 | −$79 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 71 | 12.8¢ | 14.1¢ | $9.98 | +$0.89 | $0 | |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 166 | 5.2¢ | 5.5¢ | $9.13 | +$0.48 | +$27 | |
| Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? | No | 20 | 29¢ | 45¢ | $9.00 | +$3.20 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 82 | 5.6¢ | 10.5¢ | $8.59 | +$3.98 | +$83 | |
| Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | No | 49 | 18.5¢ | 17.5¢ | $8.49 | −$0.50 | +$106 | |
| Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure? | Yes | 12 | 76¢ | 70.5¢ | $8.46 | −$0.66 | $0 | |
| Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 196 | 4.1¢ | 4.2¢ | $8.13 | $0 | +$3.20 | |
| Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 8 | 89¢ | 94¢ | $7.52 | +$0.40 | −$4.74 | |