sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,769

Rushwave

0x5ca…6ccf@Rush_research
SharpWR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,277vol $219k
PnL 30d+$159gains $76 · losses $0.47
PnL 7d+$81win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate78.8%adj 76.6% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$7,603cash n/a
Positions21 / 267open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.5%of equity peak
Account age4.6ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,342below peak −$513Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 78.8% · shrunk toward 50%91
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity75

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes3,52793.3¢93.8¢$3,307+$15+$2.06
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No2,00095.9¢95.8¢$1,915−$3.00$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No1,75892.9¢93.9¢$1,651+$18+$0.98
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No52972¢74.5¢$394+$13$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No35574.5¢53.5¢$190−$75−$170
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No15370¢89.5¢$137+$30$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1082.8¢87.6¢$8.76+$0.47$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,00018.1¢0¢$0−$181−$4.45
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,00011.4¢0¢$0−$114−$3.03
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0009.2¢0¢$0−$92−$2.51
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0001.9¢0¢$0−$19−$0.56
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0008.9¢0¢$0−$89−$2.43
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0002.5¢0¢$0−$25−$0.73
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0005.2¢0¢$0−$52−$1.48
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0003.5¢0¢$0−$35−$1.01
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No4582.7¢0¢$0−$37$0
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland2467.2¢0¢$0−$16−$0.19
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?Yes2044¢0¢$0−$8.80$0
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes1055¢0¢$0−$5.50−$0.07
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBrazil571¢0¢$0−$3.55−$0.03
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes263.5¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.02

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 10?54.1¢5$2.7179%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?93.3¢3,671$3,42479%75Sharp
BUYFalcons vs. Saints: O/U 62.5 AND Buccaneers vs. Cowboys AND Bengals vs. Dolphins58.5¢17$9.8079%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?96.5¢1,500$1,44879%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?96.4¢33$3279%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?72¢115$8379%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?52¢200$10479%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?72¢389$28079%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?52¢555$28979%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?74¢106$7979%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?88.8¢1,393$1,23779%75Sharp
BUY SpainSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance72.3¢10$7.2379%75Sharp
BUY SpainSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance58.5¢10$5.8579%75Sharp
BUY EnglandFrance vs. England: Team to Win97.5¢1,032$1,00679%75Sharp
BUY YesWill England win on 2026-07-15?63.5¢2$1.0079%75Sharp
BUY EnglandEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance72.8¢17$1279%75Sharp
BUY EnglandEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance54¢2$1.0079%75Sharp
SELL OverFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.549.3¢5$2.4679%75Sharp
BUY NoMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?86¢10$8.6079%75Sharp
BUY ArgentinaArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance75¢12$8.9279%75Sharp