sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,866

ArbitrageTaker

0x5e9…618a
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,207vol $103k
PnL 30d−$14gains $50 · losses $23
PnL 7d−$45win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate88.9%adj 83.6% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$16.6kcash n/a
Positions31 / 157open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.3%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 19d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,003below peak −$101Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 88.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d34
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No4,00295.1¢99¢$3,960+$153$0
Is Earth flat?No1,32398.1¢99.4¢$1,315+$17+$13
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No1,11296.3¢96.9¢$1,077+$7.07$0
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No1,01596.8¢99¢$1,005+$22$0
NATO dissolves before 2027?No1,00093¢98.8¢$988+$58$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?No83989¢97.5¢$817+$71+$2.89
Will Trump resign before 2027?No80092¢97.5¢$780+$44$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No70099.3¢99.9¢$699+$3.85$0
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No70490.3¢97.5¢$686+$51$0
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No62292¢99.1¢$617+$44+$9.06
Trump goes to space in 2026?No61598¢98¢$602−$0.03$0
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No60886.5¢96.5¢$587+$61+$27
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No50091¢95.7¢$479+$24$0
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?No52182¢89.4¢$466+$38$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No40090¢97.9¢$391+$31$0
Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?No39596.8¢97.9¢$387+$4.15$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No40084.5¢96.2¢$385+$47−$2.00
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No30097.8¢98.4¢$295+$1.65$0
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?Yes50135.7¢54.5¢$273+$94+$45
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?No26697.9¢98.6¢$262+$1.73$0
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No17580¢95.5¢$167+$27$0
Will Alberta join the US? No14295.9¢99¢$140+$4.37$0
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No9985.2¢96.9¢$96+$12$0
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?No7590.8¢95.9¢$72+$3.85$0
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?No5592¢99.3¢$54+$3.95$0
Will Tromsø win Norway Eliteserien?Yes54715.6¢3.1¢$17−$69$0
Will Brann win Norway Eliteserien?No599.3¢99.7¢$4.98+$0.02$0
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?No193¢98.1¢$1.05+$0.05$0
Will Lillestrøm win Norway Eliteserien?Yes218.2¢0.5¢$0.09−$1.61$0
Will Brann win Norway Eliteserien?Yes216.2¢0.3¢$0.06−$1.26$0
Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?No10682.4¢0¢$0−$87−$0.77

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?78¢710$55489%69
BUY NoWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?96.5¢487$47089%69
BUY NoWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?96.4¢125$12089%69
BUY NoWill Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?97.8¢300$29389%69
BUY NoWill Mohamed Salah finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?97.8¢150$14789%69
BUY NoJeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?84¢20$1789%69
BUY NoJeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?82¢86$7189%69
SELL YesPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?95.3¢100$9589%69
BUY NoWill Alberta join the US? 97.6¢12$1289%69
BUY NoEpstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?97.7¢494$48289%69
BUY NoWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?96¢239$23089%69
BUY NoWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?99.2¢200$19889%69
BUY NoUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?80¢175$14089%69
BUY NoTrump goes to space in 2026?98¢562$55189%69
BUY NoWill Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?96.9¢387$37589%69
BUY NoWill Christian Pulisic record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?99.6¢250$24989%69
BUY NoWill Lautaro Martínez record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?99.7¢282$28189%69
BUY NoIs Earth flat?98.1¢1,382$1,35589%69
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?97.9¢266$26189%69
BUY NoIs Earth flat?98.1¢1,000$98189%69