sharpside
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LehmanBrother2.0

0x5fb…8925
<30d oldPoliticsCryptoOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,352vol $63.2k
PnL 30d+$2,226gains $3,094 · losses $134
PnL 7d−$74win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 57.1% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$15.0kcash n/a
Positions18 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.5%of equity peak
Account age24dlast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,346below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$1,417Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Noclosed+$655Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · Noclosed+$501Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Noopen+$419Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · Noopen+$415

Worst markets

Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19? · Yesopen−$958Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Noopen−$388Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? · Yesopen−$285Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? · Yesopen−$265Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Noopen−$262

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No4,13874.6¢72.5¢$3,000−$88$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?No3,67770.7¢68.5¢$2,519−$82−$6.64
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No2,81170.7¢85.5¢$2,403+$415$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2,89869¢71.5¢$2,071+$71$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No1,41671.2¢72¢$1,019+$12$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No2,40038.3¢41.5¢$996+$76$0
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No1,00049.1¢89¢$890+$399$0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?No1,13870.1¢77.5¢$881+$84$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No1,08762.3¢59.5¢$647−$30$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No29276.1¢93.3¢$272+$50+$369
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?No94021.3¢14.5¢$136−$64$0
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes69114.5¢10.5¢$73−$27$0
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Yes15335¢40¢$61+$7.67$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Yes40556¢9.5¢$38−$188−$97
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?Yes1,79014¢0¢$0−$250−$15
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?Yes1,16581.4¢0¢$0−$949−$8.81
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No77032.5¢0¢$0−$250−$12
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No70054.9¢0¢$0−$384−$3.95

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?72¢338$24375%32
BUY NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?69¢90$6275%32
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?96.3¢807$77775%32
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?47¢1,000$47075%32
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?96.3¢517$49875%32
BUY NoPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?70.1¢1,138$79875%32
BUY NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?76¢225$17175%32
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?62.1¢57$3675%32
BUY YesUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?35¢153$5475%32
BUY NoUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?48.4¢535$25975%32
BUY NoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?22.2¢226$5075%32
BUY NoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?21¢714$15075%32
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?33¢455$15075%32
BUY NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?69¢306$21175%32
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?75¢1,635$1,22675%32
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?66¢1,748$1,15375%32
BUY NoNetanyahu out by end of 2026?63¢287$18175%32
SELL YesWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?37¢327$12175%32
BUY NoNetanyahu out by end of 2026?62¢800$49675%32
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?86¢1,170$1,00675%32