sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,828

HD45

0x600…7aac
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$6,769vol $159k
PnL 30d−$5,335gains $92 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$5,114win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate87.5%adj 66.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$33.9kcash n/a
Positions16 / 32open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$13.1kbelow peak −$13.2kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 87.5% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 16

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No26.5k30.1¢38.5¢$10.2k+$2,218$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes17.5k41.7¢43.5¢$7,607+$311$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No12.3k43¢42.5¢$5,216−$64$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00058¢61.5¢$3,075+$175$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes23.5k45.9¢11.5¢$2,702−$8,082−$450
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No10.4k24.7¢24.8¢$2,584+$5.38$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No6,03017.7¢19.5¢$1,176+$109+$9.05
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes4,05724.3¢25.5¢$1,035+$49$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes62428¢37.5¢$234+$59$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No2661¢61.5¢$16+$0.13$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes6753.7¢18.5¢$12−$24$0
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?Yes7,29645.6¢0¢$0−$3,327−$40
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes1,10732.8¢0¢$0−$363−$8.19
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No55095.3¢0¢$0−$524$0
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 30–35%?Yes147¢0¢$0−$0.95$0
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes860¢0¢$0−$4.90$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?44¢6,261$2,75588%21
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?43¢10.2k$4,38088%21
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?42¢593$24988%21
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?58¢5,000$2,90088%21
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?23.9¢2,307$55288%21
BUY YesWill Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?32¢72$2388%21
BUY NoWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?31.8¢15$4.7788%21
BUY YesWill Trump say "Oil / Gas / Gasoline" during his rally with Darline Graham?94¢441$41588%21
BUY YesWill Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?42.8¢26$1188%21
BUY YesWill Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?44.9¢533$23988%21
BUY YesWill Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?50¢1,502$75188%21
BUY YesWill Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?40.7¢1,178$48088%21
BUY YesWill James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?37¢299$11188%21
BUY NoWill Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%?69¢168$11688%21
BUY YesWill James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?35¢90$3188%21
BUY YesWill Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?44¢345$15288%21
BUY YesWill Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?48.1¢460$22188%21
BUY NoWill Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%?72.3¢370$26788%21
BUY YesWill James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?33¢519$17188%21
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?53.7¢67$3688%21