PnL all-time+$436vol $48.2k
PnL 30d+$7.93gains $7.47 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1.34win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate93.0%adj 88.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$786cash n/a
Positions7 / 167open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.3%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 20h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$442below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 93.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$21Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September? · Yesclosed−$9.52Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yesclosed−$3.88Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30? · Yesclosed−$2.77House control after 2024 election? · Republicanclosed−$1.20
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 300 | 97.3¢ | 97.3¢ | $292 | −$0.15 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 200 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $198 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? | No | 160 | 99¢ | 99.5¢ | $159 | +$0.72 | $0 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 53 | 96.9¢ | 97¢ | $52 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | No | 50 | 97.5¢ | 97.8¢ | $49 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | 21 | 85¢ | 91¢ | $19 | +$1.24 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | No | 20 | 91¢ | 92.5¢ | $19 | +$0.30 | $0 |
Recent trades
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