| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 19.6k | 73.4¢ | 100¢ | $19.6k | +$5,209 | $0 | |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 10.7k | 82.1¢ | 85.5¢ | $9,166 | +$366 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 9,187 | 60.1¢ | 78.5¢ | $7,212 | +$1,688 | +$627 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 9,610 | 73.7¢ | 74.5¢ | $7,159 | +$77 | +$154 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 8,312 | 77.2¢ | 76.5¢ | $6,359 | −$59 | +$480 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 7,400 | 84¢ | 83.5¢ | $6,179 | −$37 | −$5,551 | |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 6,850 | 77.1¢ | 81¢ | $5,549 | +$267 | +$14 | |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 6,173 | 81¢ | 82.5¢ | $5,093 | +$93 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 7,774 | 57.8¢ | 58.5¢ | $4,548 | +$56 | +$308 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 4,803 | 86.1¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,347 | +$213 | +$1,556 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 5,926 | 67.5¢ | 63.5¢ | $3,763 | −$237 | $0 | |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,865 | 80.9¢ | 87.5¢ | $2,507 | +$190 | +$36 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 4,273 | 58.5¢ | 57.5¢ | $2,457 | −$43 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 2,342 | 94.1¢ | 95.2¢ | $2,229 | +$26 | −$2,781 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | No | 6,520 | 29.8¢ | 32.5¢ | $2,119 | +$179 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | No | 2,097 | 90.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,961 | +$57 | −$59 | |
| Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 2,120 | 80.4¢ | 81.5¢ | $1,728 | +$23 | +$32 | |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 2,202 | 21.4¢ | 70.7¢ | $1,556 | +$1,084 | +$826 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | No | 2,426 | 61.8¢ | 63.5¢ | $1,541 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | Yes | 1,408 | 80.2¢ | 95.2¢ | $1,340 | +$212 | +$190 | |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 2,495 | 9.7¢ | 53.3¢ | $1,330 | +$1,087 | +$1.47 | |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | No | 3,397 | 64.8¢ | 35.5¢ | $1,206 | −$994 | $0 | |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 5,278 | 46.5¢ | 22.5¢ | $1,187 | −$1,265 | +$16 | |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 10.7k | 15.8¢ | 10.5¢ | $1,127 | −$571 | −$574 | |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,224 | 85¢ | 92¢ | $1,126 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 4,290 | 46.8¢ | 25.5¢ | $1,094 | −$914 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 1,948 | 57.5¢ | 55¢ | $1,072 | −$50 | −$7.69 | |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 1,290 | 61.1¢ | 80¢ | $1,032 | +$243 | +$450 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 1,389 | 72¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,021 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? | No | 1,484 | 52.8¢ | 62.5¢ | $928 | +$144 | $0 | |
| Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | Yes | 1,302 | 60.6¢ | 65.5¢ | $853 | +$63 | +$170 | |
| Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? | No | 865 | 57.2¢ | 98.5¢ | $852 | +$357 | −$59 | |
| Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual? | Yes | 1,243 | 54.6¢ | 68.5¢ | $852 | +$173 | −$56 | |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1,071 | 28.3¢ | 64.4¢ | $689 | +$386 | +$673 | |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,434 | 21.3¢ | 19.5¢ | $670 | −$63 | +$90 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | Yes | 1,733 | 37.5¢ | 38.5¢ | $667 | +$17 | −$1.00 | |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 710 | 91.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $664 | +$12 | −$278 | |
| Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? | No | 949 | 75¢ | 69.5¢ | $660 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane? | No | 1,717 | 35.4¢ | 37¢ | $635 | +$27 | +$106 | |
| Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election? | No | 1,402 | 39.8¢ | 42.5¢ | $596 | +$38 | +$45 | |
| Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election? | Yes | 674 | 53.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $570 | +$209 | +$19 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 2,335 | 25.4¢ | 23.5¢ | $549 | −$44 | +$1,160 | |
| Will Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election? | No | 645 | 79.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $539 | +$26 | −$18 | |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | No | 750 | 30.3¢ | 71¢ | $532 | +$305 | $0 | |
| Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? | Yes | 673 | 64¢ | 79¢ | $532 | +$101 | +$23 | |
| Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election? | No | 784 | 64.6¢ | 66¢ | $517 | +$11 | +$25 | |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1,671 | 25.1¢ | 29.5¢ | $493 | +$74 | +$414 | |
| Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? | No | 484 | 61.2¢ | 97.3¢ | $471 | +$175 | −$62 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 1,069 | 41¢ | 43.5¢ | $465 | +$27 | +$773 | |
| Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election? | Yes | 858 | 64.1¢ | 54¢ | $463 | −$87 | $0 | |
| Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | No | 507 | 62.1¢ | 89.5¢ | $454 | +$139 | −$81 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 672 | 66.5¢ | 67¢ | $450 | +$2.78 | $0 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | No | 623 | 81.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $445 | −$62 | +$7.82 | |
| Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election? | No | 1,177 | 47.3¢ | 37.5¢ | $441 | −$116 | $0 | |
| Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | No | 478 | 41.4¢ | 92¢ | $440 | +$242 | +$110 | |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | No | 1,442 | 47.8¢ | 30.5¢ | $440 | −$249 | +$20 | |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | Yes | 624 | 57.2¢ | 69¢ | $431 | +$74 | +$450 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | No | 552 | 66.1¢ | 75.5¢ | $417 | +$52 | +$496 | |
| Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election? | Yes | 427 | 54.6¢ | 96.5¢ | $412 | +$179 | $0 | |
| Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 540 | 63.3¢ | 74.3¢ | $401 | +$59 | $0 | |
| Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland? | Yes | 469 | 29.2¢ | 83.5¢ | $392 | +$255 | +$542 | |
| Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? | No | 413 | 74.1¢ | 90.9¢ | $376 | +$69 | −$85 | |
| Will Ibrahim Abba Gana win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election? | No | 403 | 87.3¢ | 92.9¢ | $375 | +$22 | +$25 | |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 2,877 | 14.9¢ | 12.8¢ | $368 | −$61 | +$29 | |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | 1,119 | 9.6¢ | 32.4¢ | $362 | +$256 | +$12 | |
| Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? | No | 1,805 | 52.1¢ | 19.5¢ | $352 | −$589 | −$38 | |
| Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election? | No | 551 | 50.4¢ | 62¢ | $342 | +$64 | +$21 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 2,158 | 16.9¢ | 15.5¢ | $334 | −$31 | +$43 | |
| Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election? | No | 804 | 38.3¢ | 39.5¢ | $318 | +$9.82 | +$207 | |
| Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election? | No | 547 | 67.9¢ | 56.5¢ | $309 | −$62 | $0 | |
| Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections? | No | 282 | 74.2¢ | 99.1¢ | $280 | +$70 | +$17 | |
| Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election? | No | 685 | 46.7¢ | 40¢ | $274 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? | Yes | 715 | 35.1¢ | 38¢ | $272 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? | Yes | 373 | 74.7¢ | 72.5¢ | $270 | −$8.21 | +$113 | |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? | No | 1,203 | 21.4¢ | 22.4¢ | $269 | +$11 | +$167 | |
| Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? | Yes | 381 | 78.6¢ | 68.2¢ | $260 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,150 | 25.3¢ | 4.2¢ | $255 | −$1,299 | +$1.87 | |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,907 | 2.9¢ | 5.2¢ | $255 | +$112 | $0 | |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? | Yes | 233 | 86.7¢ | 96.6¢ | $225 | +$23 | +$1.63 | |
| Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? | Yes | 483 | 28.4¢ | 46.5¢ | $225 | +$87 | +$20 | |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,907 | 2.9¢ | 4.6¢ | $223 | +$80 | $0 | |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,907 | 2.9¢ | 4.5¢ | $218 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 11.2k | 2.3¢ | 2¢ | $218 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,907 | 2.9¢ | 4.4¢ | $213 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 242 | 86¢ | 87.5¢ | $212 | +$3.63 | +$1,854 | |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,907 | 2.9¢ | 4.3¢ | $211 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 1,416 | 58.6¢ | 14.5¢ | $205 | −$625 | −$3.67 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 3,717 | 8¢ | 5.5¢ | $204 | −$93 | +$14 | |
| Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | No | 258 | 66¢ | 78.5¢ | $203 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,906 | 15.4¢ | 10.5¢ | $200 | −$94 | $0 | |
| Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? | Yes | 554 | 39¢ | 36¢ | $199 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election? | No | 233 | 78.4¢ | 84¢ | $196 | +$13 | −$44 | |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | Yes | 1,727 | 19.5¢ | 11¢ | $190 | −$146 | +$62 | |
| Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? | Yes | 350 | 46¢ | 54¢ | $189 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election? | Yes | 391 | 41.7¢ | 48¢ | $188 | +$24 | +$126 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 51.7k | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $181 | −$39 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 723 | 34.3¢ | 25¢ | $181 | −$67 | $0 | |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,559 | 35.7¢ | 11.5¢ | $179 | −$377 | +$10 | |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 243 | 64.7¢ | 70.5¢ | $171 | +$14 | +$1,284 | |
| Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? | Yes | 252 | 53.4¢ | 67.5¢ | $170 | +$35 | +$8.26 | |
