sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

jonej

0x61f…f8de
Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,090vol $248k
PnL 30d+$1,418gains $2,979 · losses $355
PnL 7d+$804win rate 7d 61.2%
Win rate45.6%adj 45.8% · 30d 62.1%
Open value$582cash n/a
Positions682 / 2,755open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.1%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,589below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 45.6% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?No17189.1¢96¢$164+$12$0
Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?Yes16568.9¢97.8¢$161+$48$0
Will Simon peak at Category 4?Yes14879.1¢96.9¢$144+$26−$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 12?Yes4857.9¢99.8¢$48+$20$0
Will Koguma peak as a Violent typhoon?No4577.7¢97.8¢$44+$9.04$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?Yes2038¢41¢$8.20+$0.60$0
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes1251¢50.5¢$6.23−$0.06$0
Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes854¢2.6¢$2.17−$1.23+$1.70
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12?Yes252.9¢6.5¢$1.63+$0.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or below on October 13?Yes815.9¢15.9¢$1.26$0$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes514¢6.2¢$0.31−$0.39$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes109.5¢1.6¢$0.15−$0.80$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 12?Yes5011.2¢0.3¢$0.13−$5.47$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 12?Yes1492.3¢0.1¢$0.07−$3.31$0
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes1000.6¢0.1¢$0.05−$0.55$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 12?Yes992.1¢0.1¢$0.05−$2.05$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on October 12?Yes913¢0.1¢$0.05−$2.69$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?Yes507¢0.1¢$0.03−$3.48+$1.64
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?Yes2514¢0.1¢$0.01−$3.49−$2.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 12?Yes537¢0.1¢$0−$1.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 9?Yes8000.4¢0¢$0−$3.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 31?Yes6000.3¢0¢$0−$1.90$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 8?No5500.6¢0¢$0−$3.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on August 18?Yes5410.1¢0¢$0−$0.54−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 10?Yes5000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on August 4?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C or higher on August 26?Yes4080.1¢0¢$0−$0.41$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 2?Yes3762.8¢0¢$0−$10−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 23?Yes3390.1¢0¢$0−$0.34+$3.98
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 22?Yes3000.3¢0¢$0−$0.90+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9?Yes3000.8¢0¢$0−$2.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?Yes3000.1¢0¢$0−$0.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on October 7?Yes2950.1¢0¢$0−$0.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on October 11?Yes2910.6¢0¢$0−$1.85−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?Yes2901¢0¢$0−$2.96−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 17?Yes2854.3¢0¢$0−$12−$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 8?Yes2840.5¢0¢$0−$1.35+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 1?Yes2800.4¢0¢$0−$1.00+$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 19?Yes2780.9¢0¢$0−$2.40−$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 1?Yes2690.8¢0¢$0−$2.20−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 5?Yes2532.6¢0¢$0−$6.46−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?Yes2513.7¢0¢$0−$9.23$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 11?Yes2503.2¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 23?Yes2490.5¢0¢$0−$1.25$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 21?Yes2460.8¢0¢$0−$1.93$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on August 18?Yes2450.2¢0¢$0−$0.49+$1.28
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on October 5?Yes2451.2¢0¢$0−$2.95−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?Yes24310.5¢0¢$0−$26−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4?Yes2405.9¢0¢$0−$14−$3.19
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 29?No24010.7¢0¢$0−$26+$7.74
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 11?Yes2380.3¢0¢$0−$0.71$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on October 11?Yes2323.1¢0¢$0−$7.30−$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C or higher on August 11?Yes2260.1¢0¢$0−$0.23−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 18?Yes2242.7¢0¢$0−$6.03−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 14?Yes2234.4¢0¢$0−$9.86−$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 17?Yes2202.5¢0¢$0−$5.60$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?Yes2155.5¢0¢$0−$12−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?Yes2083.8¢0¢$0−$7.95−$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 5?Yes2061.8¢0¢$0−$3.74−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 21?Yes2053¢0¢$0−$6.21$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 24?Yes2052.7¢0¢$0−$5.44−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4?Yes20315.6¢0¢$0−$32−$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 22?Yes2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.40−$1.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 14?Yes2003.5¢0¢$0−$7.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 10?Yes2001.5¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?Yes20010¢0¢$0−$20−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 3?Yes2000.4¢0¢$0−$0.80$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 16?Yes2000.5¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 21?Yes2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?Yes2001.7¢0¢$0−$3.49−$0.11
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 9?Yes2000.4¢0¢$0−$0.70$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 23?Yes2001.1¢0¢$0−$2.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5?Yes2002¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 1?Yes2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on August 13?Yes2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 11?No2000.3¢0¢$0−$0.60$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on October 10?Yes2002.2¢0¢$0−$4.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 7?Yes2003.6¢0¢$0−$7.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?Yes2002¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 1?Yes2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?Yes2000.5¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?Yes2000.6¢0¢$0−$1.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 24?Yes2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 24?Yes2001¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 4?Yes2001¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 5?Yes2000.5¢0¢$0−$1.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 16?Yes2000.7¢0¢$0−$1.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 20?Yes2000.4¢0¢$0−$0.80$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 1?Yes1881¢0¢$0−$1.86−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 9?Yes1848.3¢0¢$0−$15−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?Yes1823.7¢0¢$0−$6.71−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 31?Yes1820.1¢0¢$0−$0.18$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on September 15?Yes1780.9¢0¢$0−$1.60−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 15?Yes1772¢0¢$0−$3.46−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 9?Yes1762¢0¢$0−$3.57−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C or higher on August 3?Yes1701.6¢0¢$0−$2.80$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?Yes1702.6¢0¢$0−$4.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 24?Yes1705.8¢0¢$0−$9.80+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 9?Yes1682¢0¢$0−$3.39−$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16?Yes16512.4¢0¢$0−$21−$0.38

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?8¢25$2.0046%63
BUY YesWill exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?51¢12$6.2946%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or below on October 13?15.9¢8$1.2646%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12?2.9¢25$0.7246%63
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?14.6¢50$7.3246%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 12?69¢19$1346%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 12?62¢15$9.0646%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?38¢20$7.6046%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?14¢100$1446%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on October 12?3.1¢76$2.3446%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 12?36¢10$3.6046%63
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 12?4¢15$0.6046%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 12?40¢15$6.0046%63
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?10.8¢50$5.3846%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 12?14¢15$2.1046%63
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?99¢141$14046%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?86.7¢5$4.4846%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?82.9¢5$4.1446%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?93.3¢15$1446%63
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 12?1.5¢36$0.5246%63