| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 390 | 72¢ | 71.5¢ | $279 | −$1.95 | +$1.42 | |
| Will Lithuania win 2026-27 Nations League Group D2? | No | 94 | 90¢ | 84¢ | $79 | −$5.64 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? | No | 56 | 48¢ | 45.5¢ | $25 | −$1.39 | +$49 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat? | No | 167 | 13.9¢ | 12.5¢ | $21 | −$2.33 | +$52 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 32 | 39¢ | 30¢ | $9.57 | −$2.87 | −$1.94 | |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | Yes | 195 | 33.3¢ | 2.6¢ | $4.98 | −$60 | −$29 | |
| Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 3,727 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.86 | −$122 | −$28 | |
| Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 3,247 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.62 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 3,247 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.62 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 3,247 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.62 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 3,247 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.62 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 3,247 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.62 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 3,247 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.62 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 3,247 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.62 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 3,247 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.62 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,754 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.38 | −$94 | $0 | |
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,754 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.38 | −$94 | $0 | |
| Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,754 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.38 | −$94 | $0 | |
| Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,598 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.30 | −$88 | −$5.22 | |
| Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,598 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.30 | −$88 | −$5.22 | |
| Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 2,372 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.19 | −$40 | −$14 | |
| Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,095 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.05 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,095 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.05 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,095 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.05 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,095 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.05 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,095 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.05 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,095 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.05 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,033 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.02 | −$54 | −$1.62 | |
| Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,013 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.01 | −$53 | −$2.13 | |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,805 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.90 | −$360 | −$5.77 | |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 265 | 20¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.80 | −$52 | −$311 | |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,452 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.73 | −$290 | −$76 | |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? | No | 5 | 23¢ | 14.5¢ | $0.72 | −$0.42 | +$16 | |
| Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 1,302 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.65 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 1,302 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.65 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 1,302 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.65 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 1,302 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.65 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 1,302 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.65 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 1,302 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.65 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 1,302 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.65 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 1,302 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.65 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 1,302 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.65 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 1,301 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.65 | −$32 | −$0.02 | |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 202 | 20¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.61 | −$40 | −$6.80 | |
| Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election? | No | 20 | 4¢ | 3¢ | $0.60 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,033 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.52 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,033 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.52 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,033 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.52 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,033 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.52 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,033 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.52 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,033 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.52 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,033 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.52 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,033 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.52 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,033 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.52 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,033 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.52 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 901 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.45 | −$180 | −$130 | |
| Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 896 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.45 | −$15 | −$38 | |
| Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 767 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.38 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 724 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$144 | −$165 | |
| Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 691 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.35 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 691 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.35 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 691 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.35 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 691 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.35 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 691 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.35 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 688 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.34 | −$30 | −$0.13 | |
| Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 688 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.34 | −$30 | −$0.13 | |
| Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 688 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.34 | −$30 | −$0.13 | |
| Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 688 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.34 | −$30 | −$0.13 | |
| Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 688 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.34 | −$30 | −$0.13 | |
| Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 688 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.34 | −$30 | −$0.13 | |
| Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 83 | 3.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.33 | −$2.54 | −$0.98 | |
| Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 666 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.33 | −$29 | −$1.06 | |
| Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 622 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.31 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 622 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.31 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 622 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.31 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 619 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.31 | −$27 | −$2.99 | |
| Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 619 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.31 | −$27 | −$3.06 | |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 584 | 3.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.29 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 584 | 3.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.29 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 538 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.27 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 538 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.27 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 522 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.26 | −$104 | −$203 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 190m and 200m by October 31? | Yes | 448 | 14.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$64 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 1¢ | $0.20 | −$0.39 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 376 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.19 | −$12 | −$20 | |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 376 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.19 | −$12 | −$20 | |
| Will John Rustad be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | 359 | 3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.18 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Dallas Brodie be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | 359 | 3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.18 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Peter Milobar be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | 359 | 3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.18 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 63 | 1.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.16 | −$1.04 | −$2.41 | |
| Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 102 | 3.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.15 | −$3.36 | −$0.45 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31? | Yes | 273 | 14.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.14 | −$39 | −$25 | |
| Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 63 | 1.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.13 | −$1.07 | −$3.77 | |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 28 | 3.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.11 | −$0.76 | $0 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 170m and 180m by October 31? | Yes | 221 | 14.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.11 | −$31 | −$32 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 180m and 190m by October 31? | Yes | 221 | 14.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.11 | −$31 | −$32 | |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 216 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.11 | −$43 | −$15 | |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 216 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.11 | −$43 | −$15 | |
| Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | Yes | 36 | 6.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.11 | −$2.29 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | Yes | 36 | 6.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.11 | −$2.29 | $0 | |