PnL all-time−$72vol $14.8k
PnL 30d+$41gains $1.77 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$41win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate45.7%adj 47.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$4,795cash n/a
Positions7 / 53open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.8%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$73below peak −$54Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.7% · shrunk toward 50%18
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Noopen+$2,206Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars? · Noclosed+$2.77Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Noclosed+$1.77Colombia wins Copa America 2024? · Noclosed+$1.36Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? · Noclosed+$1.33
Worst markets
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yesopen−$2,206Will 'Sonic 3' gross more than $80m on 3-day opening weekend? · Yesclosed−$25Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$11Will England win? · Yesclosed−$10Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Noclosed−$5.00
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 4,600 | 50¢ | 98¢ | $4,506 | +$2,206 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 102 | 97.9¢ | 97.5¢ | $100 | −$0.46 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 4,600 | 50¢ | 2.1¢ | $94 | −$2,206 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 51 | 97.2¢ | 96.4¢ | $50 | −$0.44 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | No | 42 | 95¢ | 94.5¢ | $40 | −$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 98.2¢ | 97.7¢ | $4.97 | −$0.03 | $0 |
Recent trades
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