sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,311

test.saveliyb.test

0x635…cc23
1y+PoliticsSportCultureCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,941vol $131k
PnL 30d+$180gains $293 · losses $169
PnL 7d−$130win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.6%adj 46.8% · 30d 47.4%
Open value$6,195cash n/a
Positions158 / 420open / all-time
Max drawdown−71.6%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 19d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,555below peak −$134Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 46.6% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d37
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity28

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes31275.9¢84¢$262+$25$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No87434.2¢27¢$236−$63−$2.82
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes31435¢71.5¢$225+$115$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No29366¢76.5¢$224+$31$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes24676.3¢73¢$180−$8.04$0
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes21454.4¢83.7¢$179+$63$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No32954.9¢51.2¢$169−$12$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Yes22069.4¢65¢$143−$9.78$0
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes20368.6¢69.5¢$141+$1.92$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?No15678¢88¢$137+$16$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?Yes16275¢82.5¢$134+$12$0
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes13848.7¢96.3¢$133+$66$0
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes13570.5¢94¢$127+$32$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?No15075¢83¢$125+$12$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes16174.9¢76.5¢$123+$2.58$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?No16774¢72.5¢$121−$2.50$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes11952.4¢96.9¢$115+$53$0
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Yes15075¢73¢$110−$3.00$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes44462¢23.5¢$104−$171$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?No13273.9¢76¢$100+$2.82$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes11530.8¢86.2¢$99+$64$0
Blue tsunami in 2026?No18653¢52¢$97−$1.92$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?No12663.4¢76¢$96+$16$0
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No10874.2¢85¢$92+$12$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?No14477¢63.5¢$91−$19$0
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes11672.9¢75.5¢$88+$2.96$0
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026?No11344.9¢75.5¢$85+$35$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes11477.7¢71.5¢$82−$7.19$0
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No16639.3¢48.5¢$81+$15$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?Yes9075¢89.5¢$81+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?No11268.7¢70.5¢$79+$1.98$0
Benedict Wong as Wong?Yes10159.3¢71.5¢$72+$12$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes22536.4¢31.5¢$71−$11$0
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes23148.5¢30.5¢$70−$42$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?No9078¢76.5¢$69−$1.35$0
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes8168.2¢81.5¢$66+$11$0
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes18330.2¢36¢$66+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes10265¢64.5¢$66−$0.51$0
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?No7771.9¢85¢$65+$10$0
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Yes29522.2¢21.5¢$63−$1.97$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?No9667¢65.5¢$63−$1.44$0
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?Yes6063.4¢97.9¢$59+$21$0
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No10158.5¢51.5¢$52−$7.10$0
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14435¢34.5¢$50−$0.72$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes7824.6¢62.5¢$49+$30$0
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?No4862¢99.9¢$48+$18$0
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No4874.2¢96.4¢$46+$11$0
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No4644¢99.9¢$46+$26$0
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?No4263¢99.5¢$42+$15$0
Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?No6172.8¢68¢$41−$2.88$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Yes5465¢75.5¢$41+$5.67$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?No4878¢72.5¢$35−$2.64$0
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?No4748.8¢70¢$33+$9.97$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes23428.2¢13.5¢$32−$34−$85
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes21638.4¢14.5¢$31−$52$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?No3076¢95.8¢$29+$5.94$0
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?No2972¢97.1¢$28+$7.28$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes4277¢63.5¢$27−$5.67$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes3073¢84.5¢$25+$3.45$0
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No2851.1¢88.5¢$25+$11$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?Yes20417¢12¢$24−$10$0
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No2875.6¢85¢$24+$2.62$0
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?No4537¢51.5¢$23+$6.53$0
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?No2370¢90.5¢$21+$4.71$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes3055.4¢67.5¢$20+$3.63$0
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Yes2039.9¢99¢$20+$12$0
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?No3069¢65.5¢$20−$1.05$0
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes10949.1¢18¢$20−$34$0
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?Yes3351¢58¢$19+$2.31$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes12029.2¢15.5¢$19−$16$0
Will Clayton McCullough win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?No1876.8¢99.9¢$18+$4.16$0
California Redwoods vs. Boston CannonsCalifornia Redwoods3652¢49.5¢$18−$0.90$0
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes11320.8¢15¢$17−$6.47$0
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?Yes5342.8¢30.5¢$16−$6.54$0
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?No1632¢98.5¢$16+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?No8418.1¢18.5¢$16+$0.30$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?No1755¢90¢$15+$5.95$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?No1872¢84.5¢$15+$2.25$0
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?No2942.3¢51.5¢$15+$2.65$0
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes9931.5¢15¢$15−$16$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?Yes2158.8¢69.5¢$15+$2.25$0
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes17027¢8.5¢$14−$31−$0.10
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?Yes1764¢84.5¢$14+$3.48$0
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?Yes1534¢92.5¢$14+$8.78$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes3063¢45.5¢$14−$5.27$0
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?No1853¢73¢$13+$3.60$0
Will the SHOWER Act become law this year?No1272¢96.4¢$12+$2.92$0
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes9126.8¢12.5¢$11−$13+$0.15
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?No1254¢94¢$11+$4.80$0
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes25541.2¢4.3¢$11−$94−$1.50
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?Yes10226.4¢10.5¢$11−$16$0
Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?No1553.3¢68.3¢$10+$2.25$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes10257¢9.5¢$9.70−$48$0
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes11425¢8.5¢$9.69−$19$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes10219¢9.5¢$9.69−$9.69$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?No1260¢79.5¢$9.54+$2.34$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3026.8¢29.9¢$9.02+$0.92$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No1571¢58.5¢$8.78−$1.88$0
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?No958¢96.1¢$8.64+$3.42$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Yes4719.9¢18¢$8.46−$0.88$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoQFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?69¢6$4.1447%45
BUY NoQFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?69¢6$4.1447%45
BUY NoQFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?69¢6$4.1447%45
BUY NoQFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?69¢6$4.1447%45
BUY NoQFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?69¢6$4.1447%45
BUY YesCambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?64¢5$3.2047%45
BUY NoAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?58¢3$1.7447%45
BUY NoAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?58¢6$3.4847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.8¢6$4.6847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.7¢6$4.6847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.7¢6$4.6847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.7¢6$4.6847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.7¢6$4.6847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.8¢6$4.6847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.6¢6$4.6847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.6¢6$4.6847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.7¢6$4.6847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.7¢6$4.6847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.7¢6$4.6847%45
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?77.7¢6$4.6847%45