sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

KrdRL

0x63c…70d7
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,117vol $37.0k
PnL 30d+$186gains $343 · losses $296
PnL 7d+$2.57win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate84.8%adj 79.2% · 30d 81.8%
Open value$8,276cash n/a
Positions31 / 138open / all-time
Max drawdown−58.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$925below peak −$362Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 84.8% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity42

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No1,04686¢95.5¢$999+$99−$22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No89078.7¢76.5¢$680−$20$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?No52176.8¢93.5¢$487+$87$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes92087¢46¢$423−$377$0
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No45588¢91¢$414+$14$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No35385¢97.2¢$343+$43$0
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No36682¢93¢$340+$40$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No35085.7¢94¢$329+$29$0
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes35584.5¢89.8¢$319+$19$0
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?No32991.1¢96¢$316+$16$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?No32393¢97.4¢$314+$14$0
UK Recession in 2026?No32577¢93¢$302+$52$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?No29268.5¢80¢$234+$34$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No22290¢97.7¢$217+$17$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No22290¢97.2¢$216+$16$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No25678¢83.5¢$214+$14$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No21891.7¢97.8¢$213+$13$0
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No23485.6¢90.5¢$211+$11$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes21394¢94.5¢$201+$1.06$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes25379¢78.5¢$199−$1.27$0
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No26675.2¢74.5¢$198−$1.94$0
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?No22844¢75¢$171+$71$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes22588.7¢73.5¢$166−$34$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No34387.5¢47.3¢$162−$138$0
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No16590.7¢96¢$159+$8.82$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes18182.7¢87.5¢$159+$8.62$0
Japan recession in 2026?No16590.9¢95.5¢$158+$7.65$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes85753.9¢15.5¢$133−$329$0
Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes2229¢0¢$0−$20−$0.73
Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes17211.6¢0¢$0−$20−$0.71
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupT16873¢0¢$0−$50−$0.68

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?79¢253$20085%64
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?94¢213$20085%64
BUY YesWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-11?68.4¢15$1085%64
BUY YesWill Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?87¢230$20085%64
SELL YesWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?4.7¢330$1685%64
BUY NoHouthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?75.2¢266$20085%64
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?93¢323$30085%64
SELL NoWill United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?34.2¢260$8985%64
BUY NoWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?82.3¢61$5085%64
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?86¢233$20085%64
BUY NoWill United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?77¢260$20085%64
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?78¢256$20085%64
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?70¢143$10085%64
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?69.9¢143$10085%64
BUY YesWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?89¢225$20085%64
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?90¢222$20085%64
SELL YesWill Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?15¢205$3185%64
BUY YesWill Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?73¢205$15085%64
BUY YesWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?63¢317$20085%64
BUY YesWill Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?69.5¢288$20085%64